October baseball. The regular season is over, and the chases it carried are settled in the sidebar.
Nightly briefing
Who is chasing baseball history right now — and whether the numbers say they can get there.
Baseball last night
The Dodgers beat the Braves 3-1 in Game 3 of the NL Division Series. Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD) struck out 10 over 7.0 IP.
The Padres beat the Brewers 4-3 in Game 3 of the NL Division Series. William Contreras had 3 hits.
The Tigers have been better than 76-86 looks: their runs scored and allowed are those of a 89-win club.
The Angels have been better than 62-100 looks: their runs scored and allowed are those of a 71-win club.
Pace through history
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Kyle Schwarber versus the great home-run seasons
Kyle Schwarber has 45 home runs through 162 team games, 28 behind Barry Bonds's 2001 pace at the same checkpoint (73). Comparable chases finished with a median of 45 (95% CI 45-46); 0% reached 50 (0-2.8% at 95% confidence), from 134 comparable seasons.
Franchise pressure
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A franchise record is under pressure
The Rays' single-season record is 46 home runs, set by Carlos Peña in 2007. Junior Caminero projects to 42 and would finish 4 short.