82% season-shape match
Why he matters right now
Matt Olson has not missed a game in 925 of them
His consecutive-games streak stands at 925, 8th on the all-time list.
This has been his headline for 5 straight days.
The case in 30 seconds
- 925 consecutive games — 8th all-time iron-man ledger, game-log verified at seed
- 37 4th in home runs at 37, 4th in doubles at 33, 4th in total bases at 282 on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
The honest caveat
A milestone is arithmetic on a career, not a statement about this season. Reaching it depends on playing time between now and then, which nothing here predicts.
What to watch next
Next up: at Philadelphia Phillies.
Every claim above, with its source (2)
- 925 consecutive games — 8th all-time iron-man ledger, game-log verified at seed
- 4th in home runs at 37, 4th in doubles at 33, 4th in total bases at 282 on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
Other cases this page considered and did not lead with: Matt Olson is top-10 in the majors in home runs, doubles and total bases (and 1 other board).
The evidence
What changed last night
0-for-3
L 2-4 vs Philadelphia Phillies · 2026-09-05
carries a .250 average into today
What to watch next
at Philadelphia Phillies
Citizens Bank Park · 1:10 p.m. ET
Facing Aaron Nola
Matt Olson faces a right-hander in Aaron Nola. He is hitting .247 with 23 home runs in 320 at-bats against right-handers this season.
Situational splits
| Split | AB | AVG | HR | RBI | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP | 320 | .247 | 23 | 50 | .854 |
| vs LHP | 231 | .255 | 14 | 30 | .814 |
| Home | 275 | .265 | 17 | 37 | .849 |
| Away | 276 | .236 | 20 | 43 | .827 |
| Day | 169 | .225 | 8 | 21 | .731 |
| Night | 382 | .262 | 29 | 59 | .884 |
2026 season, MLB Stats API. A split with no plate appearances is omitted rather than shown as zeroes.
142G
551AB
138H
.250AVG
37HR
80RBI
4SB
332B
03B
.838OPS
Chasing .400
.250Current AVG
138Consecutive hits needed to reach .400
123-for-100Needed over next 100 AB
1.462Rest-of-season AVG to finish .400 (114-for-78)
Status: IMPOSSIBLE
Milestone tracker
| Chase | Target | Current | Pace | Needed from here | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| .350 AVG | .350 | .250 | .250 | 1.064 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .380 AVG | .380 | .250 | .250 | 1.308 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .400 AVG | .400 | .250 | .250 | 1.462 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .406 AVG | .406 | .250 | .250 | 1.513 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .466 AVG | .466 | .250 | .250 | 2.000 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 50 HR | 50 | 37 | 42 | 13 in 20 g · 1 per 6.0 AB | EXTREME |
| 60 HR | 60 | 37 | 42 | 23 in 20 g · 1 per 3.4 AB | EXTREME |
| 62 HR | 62 | 37 | 42 | 25 in 20 g · 1 per 3.1 AB | EXTREME |
| 70 HR | 70 | 37 | 42 | 33 in 20 g · 1 per 2.4 AB | EXTREME |
| 73 HR | 73 | 37 | 42 | 36 in 20 g · 1 per 2.2 AB | EXTREME |
| 200 Hits | 200 | 138 | 157 | 62 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 225 Hits | 225 | 138 | 157 | 87 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 250 Hits | 250 | 138 | 157 | 112 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 262 Hits | 262 | 138 | 157 | 124 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 50 SB | 50 | 4 | 5 | 46 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 80 SB | 80 | 4 | 5 | 76 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 100 SB | 100 | 4 | 5 | 96 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 130 SB | 130 | 4 | 5 | 126 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 50 2B | 50 | 33 | 38 | 17 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 60 2B | 60 | 33 | 38 | 27 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 67 2B | 67 | 33 | 38 | 34 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 20 3B | 20 | 0 | 0 | 20 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 25 3B | 25 | 0 | 0 | 25 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 36 3B | 36 | 0 | 0 | 36 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 125 RBI | 125 | 80 | 91 | 45 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 150 RBI | 150 | 80 | 91 | 70 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 175 RBI | 175 | 80 | 91 | 95 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 191 RBI | 191 | 80 | 91 | 111 in 20 g | EXTREME |
How likely is the finish?
57%finishes with 40+ home runs
0%finishes with 50+ home runs
0%finishes with 60+ home runs
His rate of 59.970 home runs per 1,000 plate appearances is read as 54.450 after regressing toward the league's 30.150 — a leaderboard selects for players who have outperformed, so an unregressed rate projected forward overstates every one of them. That puts the expected finish at 40.9, against a straight team-game pace of 42. Exact beta-binomial over 87 remaining plate appearances, averaged across playing-time scenarios. Calibrated against Retrosheet finishes: within 7 points of observed frequency in every band, and within 2 in three of five. It is a model, not a measurement.
Home run pace vs the benchmark seasons
61.4%of comparable chases reached 40 HR
0.4%of comparable chases reached 50 HR
0.0%of comparable chases reached 60 HR
Empirical: seasons within ±2 HR of his total at the same team-game checkpoint (n=264); median finish 40. Retrosheet.
Recent game log
Derived nightly from the snapshot ledger — each row is the difference between consecutive days; multi-day rows are labeled.
| Date | Opp | Result | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | SB | BB | K | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Philadelphia Phillies | L 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .250 |
| 2026-09-04 | Philadelphia Phillies | W 5-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .252 |
| 2026-09-01 | Washington Nationals | L 5-9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .254 |
| 2026-08-31 | San Francisco Giants | L 3-7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .256 |
| 2026-08-30 | Colorado Rockies | W 3-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .258 |
| 2026-08-29 | Colorado Rockies | W 2-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .259 |
| 2026-08-28 | Colorado Rockies | W 6-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .258 |
| 2026-08-27 | Los Angeles Dodgers | W 1-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .259 |
| 2026-08-26 | Los Angeles Dodgers | W 6-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .260 |
| 2026-08-25 | Los Angeles Dodgers | W 4-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .260 |
Recent highlights
▶︎
Matt Olson's walk-off single 2026-08-30 · Matt Olson's walk-off single in the 10th beat the Rockies 3-2
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Matt Olson's go-ahead three-run homer (36)2026-08-16 · Matt Olson's tiebreaking home run in the 7th put the Braves ahead for good in a 5-3 win over the Diamondbacks
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Matt Olson's walk-off homer (9) 2026-04-29 ·
Lahman + Retrosheet context
How this season fits history
Through 142 team games; 60 in 2001