Team Chases

Best record, last 30 days 2026-08-12 → 2026-09-11 · 30 of 30 clubs with 10+ games

1. 1 Phillies 18-8 .692 +43
2. · Brewers 18-9 .667 +62
3. · Royals 17-9 .654 +27
4. · Dodgers 17-9 .654 +31
5. · Yankees 17-10 .630 +43

The runs behind it: the Phillies outscored their opponents 129–86 in this window, 1.65 a game. Runs like that usually buy a .677 record; the record and the runs agree.

The Phillies came into this window playing to a .512 level, and over 26 games a club of that quality posts a run this good about once in 17 tries on its own. But the board tests 30 clubs across 3 windows — 90 chances — and if every one of those chances were as unlikely as this one you would still expect about 5.2 of them to come off, so seeing one is what a board this size turns up anyway rather than anything about this club. What is left is a board position: the Phillies sit first on this window's board among the 30 clubs that played 10 games or more.

Whether they are hotter than the Brewers is a different question, and no window a season can offer will settle it: the gap is .026, the margin runs -.216 to +.262, and an exact test on the two records gives 100.0%. Over windows this length — 26 games and 27 — two records have to sit about .192 apart before the arithmetic can tell them apart at all, and the true difference between the two best clubs in a 30-club league is nearer .020.

Best record, last 60 days 2026-07-13 → 2026-09-11 · 30 of 30 clubs with 10+ games

1. 1 Brewers 33-19 .635 +66
2. · Red Sox 34-20 .630 +54
3. · Yankees 31-20 .608 +42
4. · Padres 31-20 .608 +62
5. · Braves 32-21 .604 +19

The runs behind it: the Brewers outscored their opponents 273–207 in this window, 1.27 a game. Runs like that usually buy a .624 record; the record and the runs agree.

The Brewers came into this window playing to a .548 level, and over 52 games a club of that quality posts a run this good about once in 6.3 tries on its own. But the board tests 30 clubs across 3 windows — 90 chances — and if every one of those chances were as unlikely as this one you would still expect about 14.2 of them to come off, so seeing one is what a board this size turns up anyway rather than anything about this club. What is left is a board position: the Brewers sit first on this window's board among the 30 clubs that played 10 games or more.

Whether they are hotter than the Red Sox is a different question, and no window a season can offer will settle it: the gap is .005, the margin runs -.174 to +.183, and an exact test on the two records gives 100.0%. Over windows this length — 52 games and 54 — two records have to sit about .096 apart before the arithmetic can tell them apart at all, and the true difference between the two best clubs in a 30-club league is nearer .020.

Best record, since the All-Star break 2026-07-11 → 2026-09-11 · 30 of 30 clubs with 10+ games

1. 1 Brewers 33-19 .635 +66
2. · Red Sox 34-20 .630 +54
3. · Yankees 31-20 .608 +42
4. · Padres 31-20 .608 +62
5. · Braves 32-21 .604 +19

The runs behind it: the Brewers outscored their opponents 273–207 in this window, 1.27 a game. Runs like that usually buy a .624 record; the record and the runs agree.

Measured from July 11: the standings row stored for July 12 did not move, because that night's results had already been credited to July 11. Subtracting from July 11 therefore leaves the July 12 games outside this window — which is what the label means, since the break began after they were played.

The Brewers came into this window playing to a .548 level, and over 52 games a club of that quality posts a run this good about once in 6.3 tries on its own. But the board tests 30 clubs across 3 windows — 90 chances — and if every one of those chances were as unlikely as this one you would still expect about 14.2 of them to come off, so seeing one is what a board this size turns up anyway rather than anything about this club. What is left is a board position: the Brewers sit first on this window's board among the 30 clubs that played 10 games or more.

Whether they are hotter than the Red Sox is a different question, and no window a season can offer will settle it: the gap is .005, the margin runs -.174 to +.183, and an exact test on the two records gives 100.0%. Over windows this length — 52 games and 54 — two records have to sit about .096 apart before the arithmetic can tell them apart at all, and the true difference between the two best clubs in a 30-club league is nearer .020.