n=33 near this checkpoint
Why he matters right now
Dylan Cease is 25 from 100 career wins
He sits at 75 — one of the counting milestones the sport stops for.
This has been his headline for 10 straight days.
The case in 30 seconds
- 75 career wins, 25 from 100 career_watch ledger (live-verified before publication)
- 227 3rd in strikeouts at 227, 4th in ERA at 2.40, 5th in strikeout-minus-walk rate at 24.8% on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
- ERA 2.40 — 4th of 22 qualified pitchers on this site's tracked board snapshot pitching board — the union of MLB's top-10 pitching boards, then MLB's 1.0 IP per team game rule applied; not the league's full qualified pool
The honest caveat
A milestone is arithmetic on a career, not a statement about this season. Reaching it depends on playing time between now and then, which nothing here predicts.
What to watch next
Next up: vs Baltimore Orioles. 23 more to reach 250 SO.
Every claim above, with its source (3)
- 75 career wins, 25 from 100 career_watch ledger (live-verified before publication)
- 3rd in strikeouts at 227, 4th in ERA at 2.40, 5th in strikeout-minus-walk rate at 24.8% on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
- ERA 2.40 — 4th of 22 qualified pitchers on this site's tracked board snapshot pitching board — the union of MLB's top-10 pitching boards, then MLB's 1.0 IP per team game rule applied; not the league's full qualified pool
Other cases this page considered and did not lead with: Dylan Cease is top-10 in the majors in strikeouts, ERA and strikeout-minus-walk rate (and 1 other board); Dylan Cease sits 4th in ERA among 22 qualified pitchers on this site's tracked board.
The evidence
Tracked on Live Chases
- 60-1 Strikeouts Significant · MILESTONE No. 3 of 3strikeouts chases 227 record 383 — Nolan Ryan, 1973 248projected, against 300
The score is an editorial score, not a measurement on a common scale. The rank above is this player's position on his own category's board — the ordering the site stands behind. See all tracked chases →
What to watch next
vs Baltimore Orioles
Rogers Centre · 3:07 p.m. ET
Opposite Kyle Bradish
Situational splits
| Split | IP | ERA | SO | WHIP | AVG against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP | 66.1 | — | 90 | 1.10 | .196 |
| vs LHP | 95.0 | — | 137 | 1.00 | .164 |
| Home | 80.1 | 2.91 | 120 | 1.15 | .197 |
| Away | 81.0 | 1.89 | 107 | 0.94 | .157 |
| Day | 68.0 | 2.12 | 102 | 0.97 | .148 |
| Night | 93.1 | 2.60 | 125 | 1.09 | .198 |
2026 season, MLB Stats API. A split with no plate appearances is omitted rather than shown as zeroes.
27G
27GS
161.1IP
10-5W-L
2.40ERA
1.04WHIP
227K
12.66K/9
0SV
Strikeout chase
| Chase | Current | Pace | Needed from here | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 200 K | 227 | 248 | done | ACHIEVED |
| 250 K | 227 | 248 | 23 K · 8.8 per outing over 2.6 left | NEAR PACE |
| 300 K | 227 | 248 | 73 K · 28.1 per outing over 2.6 left | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 350 K | 227 | 248 | 123 K · 47.3 per outing over 2.6 left | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 383 K | 227 | 248 | 156 K · 60.0 per outing over 2.6 left | IMPOSSIBLE |
ERA & WHIP finish lines
| Finish | Current | Required rest-of-season | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sub-2.00 ERA | 2.40 | -2.21 over about 15 innings | IMPOSSIBLE |
| Sub-1.75 ERA | 2.40 | -5.11 over about 15 innings | IMPOSSIBLE |
| Sub-1.50 ERA | 2.40 | -8.00 over about 15 innings | IMPOSSIBLE |
| Sub-1.00 WHIP | 1.04 | 0.56 | NEAR PACE |
| Sub-0.90 WHIP | 1.04 | -0.59 | IMPOSSIBLE |
Recent game log
Derived nightly from the snapshot ledger — each row is the difference between consecutive days; multi-day rows are labeled.
| Date | Opp | Result | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Athletics | L 5-6 | 5.0 | 6 |
| 2026-09-01 | Cleveland Guardians | L 1-6 | 6.0 | 4 |
| 2026-08-22 | New York Yankees | W 4-3 | 6.2 | 8 |
| 2026-08-16 | New York Yankees | L 3-4 | 6.1 | 10 |
| 2026-08-11 | Boston Red Sox | W 5-3 | 5.0 | 7 |
| 2026-08-06 | Chicago Cubs | L 2-3 | 7.0 | 10 |
| 2026-07-31 | St. Louis Cardinals | W 3-1 | 6.0 | 7 |
| 2026-07-25 | Boston Red Sox | W 6-0 | 9.0 | 12 |
| 2026-07-08 | San Francisco Giants | W 10-0 | 3.0 | 4 |
Recent highlights
▶︎
Dylan Cease throws six scoreless innings in 10th win2026-09-02 · Dylan Cease went 6.0 scoreless
▶︎
Dylan Cease's eight strikeouts 2026-08-28 · Dylan Cease struck out 8 over 6.0 IP
▶︎
Dylan Cease takes no-hitter into 7th inning2026-08-22 · Dylan Cease carried a NO-HITTER into the 7th — broken up by a single
Lahman + Retrosheet context
How this season fits history
Chase history
Stuff watch
Four-seamer velocity, start by start
Every start's average against his own trailing baseline of 97.3 ± 0.75 mph. Ringed dots sit more than one standard deviation under the baseline; last start 94.9 mph (2026-09-07).
No active signals — inside one standard deviation of his own baseline. A trend report, not a diagnosis.