85% season-shape match
Why he matters right now
Fernando Tatis Jr. is top-10 in the majors in hits and stolen bases
He is 4th in hits at 162, 6th in stolen bases at 32 — placements on MLB's own season boards, which rank every QUALIFIED hitter in the sport rather than the few dozen this site tracks. Qualified is MLB's own bar, and it is the reason a part-season player with a big number is not on these boards at all.
Same case as last night, moved numbers: his headline number went from 161 to 162 since September 10.
The case in 30 seconds
- 162 4th in hits at 162, 6th in stolen bases at 32 on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
- .284 .802 OPS, 20 home runs, 72 RBI and 32 stolen bases over 145 games snapshot batting board — the union of MLB's top-10 hitting boards, then MLB's 3.1 PA per team game rule applied; not the league's full qualified pool
The honest caveat
It is still a partial season — 639 plate appearances so far. A rate moves fastest against the strongest arms a schedule has left, and the schedule ahead is not the schedule behind.
What to watch next
Next up: at San Francisco Giants.
Every claim above, with its source (2)
- 4th in hits at 162, 6th in stolen bases at 32 on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
- .802 OPS, 20 home runs, 72 RBI and 32 stolen bases over 145 games snapshot batting board — the union of MLB's top-10 hitting boards, then MLB's 3.1 PA per team game rule applied; not the league's full qualified pool
The evidence
Tracked on Live Chases
- 79 Longest Ball Historic · STATCAST only one tracked
The score is an editorial score, not a measurement on a common scale. The rank above is this player's position on his own category's board — the ordering the site stands behind. See all tracked chases →
What changed last night
1-for-4
W 7-5 vs San Francisco Giants · 2026-09-11
carries a .284 average into today
What to watch next
at San Francisco Giants
Oracle Park · 4:05 p.m. ET
Facing Cesar Perdomo
Fernando Tatis Jr. faces a left-hander in Cesar Perdomo. He is hitting .303 with 8 home runs in 132 at-bats against left-handers this season.
Situational splits
| Split | AB | AVG | HR | RBI | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP | 438 | .279 | 12 | 55 | .755 |
| vs LHP | 132 | .303 | 8 | 17 | .959 |
| Home | 275 | .320 | 8 | 35 | .855 |
| Away | 295 | .251 | 12 | 37 | .752 |
| Day | 215 | .288 | 7 | 28 | .787 |
| Night | 355 | .282 | 13 | 44 | .811 |
2026 season, MLB Stats API. A split with no plate appearances is omitted rather than shown as zeroes.
145G
570AB
162H
.284AVG
20HR
72RBI
32SB
292B
33B
.802OPS
Chasing .400
.284Current AVG
110Consecutive hits needed to reach .400
106-for-100Needed over next 100 AB
1.552Rest-of-season AVG to finish .400 (90-for-58)
Status: IMPOSSIBLE
Milestone tracker
| Chase | Target | Current | Pace | Needed from here | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| .350 AVG | .350 | .284 | .284 | 1.000 ROS | EXTREME |
| .380 AVG | .380 | .284 | .284 | 1.328 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .400 AVG | .400 | .284 | .284 | 1.552 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .406 AVG | .406 | .284 | .284 | 1.603 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .466 AVG | .466 | .284 | .284 | 2.259 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 50 HR | 50 | 20 | 22 | 30 in 15 g · 1 per 1.9 AB | EXTREME |
| 60 HR | 60 | 20 | 22 | 40 in 15 g · 1 per 1.5 AB | EXTREME |
| 62 HR | 62 | 20 | 22 | 42 in 15 g · 1 per 1.4 AB | EXTREME |
| 70 HR | 70 | 20 | 22 | 50 in 15 g · 1 per 1.2 AB | EXTREME |
| 73 HR | 73 | 20 | 22 | 53 in 15 g · 1 per 1.1 AB | EXTREME |
| 200 Hits | 200 | 162 | 179 | 38 in 15 g | EXTREME |
| 225 Hits | 225 | 162 | 179 | 63 in 15 g | EXTREME |
| 250 Hits | 250 | 162 | 179 | 88 in 15 g | EXTREME |
| 262 Hits | 262 | 162 | 179 | 100 in 15 g | EXTREME |
| 50 SB | 50 | 32 | 35 | 18 in 15 g | EXTREME |
| 80 SB | 80 | 32 | 35 | 48 in 15 g | EXTREME |
| 100 SB | 100 | 32 | 35 | 68 in 15 g | EXTREME |
| 130 SB | 130 | 32 | 35 | 98 in 15 g | EXTREME |
| 50 2B | 50 | 29 | 32 | 21 in 15 g | EXTREME |
| 60 2B | 60 | 29 | 32 | 31 in 15 g | EXTREME |
| 67 2B | 67 | 29 | 32 | 38 in 15 g | EXTREME |
| 20 3B | 20 | 3 | 3 | 17 in 15 g | EXTREME |
| 25 3B | 25 | 3 | 3 | 22 in 15 g | EXTREME |
| 36 3B | 36 | 3 | 3 | 33 in 15 g | EXTREME |
| 125 RBI | 125 | 72 | 79 | 53 in 15 g | EXTREME |
| 150 RBI | 150 | 72 | 79 | 78 in 15 g | EXTREME |
| 175 RBI | 175 | 72 | 79 | 103 in 15 g | EXTREME |
| 191 RBI | 191 | 72 | 79 | 119 in 15 g | EXTREME |
How likely is the finish?
0%finishes with 40+ home runs
0%finishes with 50+ home runs
0%finishes with 60+ home runs
His rate of 31.300 home runs per 1,000 plate appearances is read as 31.100 after regressing toward the league's 30.170 — a leaderboard selects for players who have outperformed, so an unregressed rate projected forward overstates every one of them. That puts the expected finish at 21.7, against a straight team-game pace of 22. Exact beta-binomial over 65 remaining plate appearances, averaged across playing-time scenarios. Calibrated against Retrosheet finishes: within 7 points of observed frequency in every band, and within 2 in three of five. It is a model, not a measurement.
Home run pace vs the benchmark seasons
0.0%of comparable chases reached 40 HR
0.0%of comparable chases reached 50 HR
0.0%of comparable chases reached 60 HR
Empirical: seasons within ±2 HR of his total at the same team-game checkpoint (n=2016); median finish 21. Retrosheet.
Recent game log
Derived nightly from the snapshot ledger — each row is the difference between consecutive days; multi-day rows are labeled.
| Date | Opp | Result | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | SB | BB | K | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | San Francisco Giants | W 7-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .284 |
| 2026-09-09 | Washington Nationals | W 9-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .284 |
| 2026-09-08 | Washington Nationals | W 5-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .282 |
| 2026-09-06 | New York Yankees | W 4-3 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .283 |
| 2026-09-05 | New York Yankees | L 1-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .280 |
| 2026-09-04 | New York Yankees | W 3-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .282 |
| 2026-09-01 | Cincinnati Reds | L 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .284 |
| 2026-08-31 | Cincinnati Reds | W 5-0 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .283 |
| 2026-08-30 | Tampa Bay Rays | L 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .282 |
| 2026-08-29 | Tampa Bay Rays | L 6-7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | .284 |
Recent highlights
▶︎
Fernando Tatis Jr.'s leadoff solo home run (20)2026-09-06 · Fernando Tatis Jr. led off the game with a home run
▶︎
Fernando Tatis Jr.'s second home run of the game (19)2026-09-01 · Fernando Tatis Jr. hit 2 home runs
▶︎
Fernando Tatis Jr.'s second home run of the game2026-08-23 · Fernando Tatis Jr. hit 2 home runs, driving in 4
Lahman + Retrosheet context
How this season fits history
Through 147 team games; 64 in 2001