91% season-shape match
Mickey Moniak
Why he matters right now
Mickey Moniak is top-10 in the majors in triples
He is 8th in triples at 6 — placements on MLB's own season boards, which rank every QUALIFIED hitter in the sport rather than the few dozen this site tracks. Qualified is MLB's own bar, and it is the reason a part-season player with a big number is not on these boards at all.
The case in 30 seconds
- 6 8th in triples at 6 on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
- .242 .765 OPS, 22 home runs, 64 RBI and 1 stolen base over 112 games snapshot batting board — the union of MLB's top-10 hitting boards, then MLB's 3.1 PA per team game rule applied; not the league's full qualified pool
The honest caveat
A top-ten finish is a position on a board, not a verdict on a player. The men just below him on it are not meaningfully worse, and one good week moves several places.
What to watch next
Next up: vs Seattle Mariners.
Every claim above, with its source (2)
- 8th in triples at 6 on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
- .765 OPS, 22 home runs, 64 RBI and 1 stolen base over 112 games snapshot batting board — the union of MLB's top-10 hitting boards, then MLB's 3.1 PA per team game rule applied; not the league's full qualified pool
The evidence
What changed last night
What to watch next
Chasing .400
Status: IMPOSSIBLE
Milestone tracker
| Chase | Target | Current | Pace | Needed from here | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| .350 AVG | .350 | .242 | .242 | 2.722 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .380 AVG | .380 | .242 | .242 | 3.444 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .400 AVG | .400 | .242 | .242 | 3.889 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .406 AVG | .406 | .242 | .242 | 4.000 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .466 AVG | .466 | .242 | .242 | 5.389 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 50 HR | 50 | 22 | 23 | 28 in 7 g · 1 per 0.6 AB | EXTREME |
| 60 HR | 60 | 22 | 23 | 38 in 7 g · 1 per 0.5 AB | EXTREME |
| 62 HR | 62 | 22 | 23 | 40 in 7 g · 1 per 0.4 AB | EXTREME |
| 70 HR | 70 | 22 | 23 | 48 in 7 g · 1 per 0.4 AB | EXTREME |
| 73 HR | 73 | 22 | 23 | 51 in 7 g · 1 per 0.3 AB | EXTREME |
| 200 Hits | 200 | 95 | 99 | 105 in 7 g | EXTREME |
| 225 Hits | 225 | 95 | 99 | 130 in 7 g | EXTREME |
| 250 Hits | 250 | 95 | 99 | 155 in 7 g | EXTREME |
| 262 Hits | 262 | 95 | 99 | 167 in 7 g | EXTREME |
| 50 SB | 50 | 1 | 1 | 49 in 7 g | EXTREME |
| 80 SB | 80 | 1 | 1 | 79 in 7 g | EXTREME |
| 100 SB | 100 | 1 | 1 | 99 in 7 g | EXTREME |
| 130 SB | 130 | 1 | 1 | 129 in 7 g | EXTREME |
| 50 2B | 50 | 17 | 18 | 33 in 7 g | EXTREME |
| 60 2B | 60 | 17 | 18 | 43 in 7 g | EXTREME |
| 67 2B | 67 | 17 | 18 | 50 in 7 g | EXTREME |
| 20 3B | 20 | 6 | 6 | 14 in 7 g | EXTREME |
| 25 3B | 25 | 6 | 6 | 19 in 7 g | EXTREME |
| 36 3B | 36 | 6 | 6 | 30 in 7 g | EXTREME |
| 125 RBI | 125 | 64 | 67 | 61 in 7 g | EXTREME |
| 150 RBI | 150 | 64 | 67 | 86 in 7 g | EXTREME |
| 175 RBI | 175 | 64 | 67 | 111 in 7 g | EXTREME |
| 191 RBI | 191 | 64 | 67 | 127 in 7 g | EXTREME |
How likely is the finish?
His rate of 51.760 home runs per 1,000 plate appearances is read as 46.430 after regressing toward the league's 30.240 — a leaderboard selects for players who have outperformed, so an unregressed rate projected forward overstates every one of them. That puts the expected finish at 22.7, against a straight team-game pace of 23. Exact beta-binomial over 19 remaining plate appearances, averaged across playing-time scenarios. Calibrated against Retrosheet finishes: within 7 points of observed frequency in every band, and within 2 in three of five. It is a model, not a measurement.
Home run pace vs the benchmark seasons
Empirical: seasons within ±2 HR of his total at the same team-game checkpoint (n=1781); median finish 22. Retrosheet.
Recent game log
Derived nightly from the snapshot ledger — each row is the difference between consecutive days; multi-day rows are labeled.
| Date | Opp | Result | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | SB | BB | K | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Seattle Mariners | W 5-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .242 |
| 2026-05-19 | Texas Rangers | L 0-10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .290 |
| 2026-05-18 | Texas Rangers | W 7-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .296 |
| 2026-05-17 | Arizona Diamondbacks | L 6-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .298 |
| 2026-05-16 | Arizona Diamondbacks | W 4-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .307 |
| 2026-05-15 | Arizona Diamondbacks | L 1-9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .306 |
| 2026-05-14 | Pittsburgh Pirates | L 2-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .308 |
| 2026-05-09 | Philadelphia Phillies | L 3-9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .304 |
| 2026-05-08 | Philadelphia Phillies | W 9-7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .315 |
| 2026-05-07 | New York Mets | W 6-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .318 |
Recent highlights
Lahman + Retrosheet context
How this season fits history
Through 155 team games; 69 in 2001