Gavin Williams headshot

Gavin Williams

Cleveland Guardians · through 2026-10-30

Elite season

Why he matters right now

Gavin Williams is top-10 in the majors in strikeouts and strikeout-minus-walk rate

He is 2nd in strikeouts at 248, 3rd in strikeout-minus-walk rate at 25.1% — placements on MLB's own season boards, which rank every QUALIFIED pitcher in the sport rather than the few dozen this site tracks. Qualified is MLB's own bar, and it is the reason a part-season player with a big number is not on these boards at all.

This has been his headline for 29 straight days.

The case in 30 seconds

  • 248 2nd in strikeouts at 248, 3rd in strikeout-minus-walk rate at 25.1% on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
  • 3.76 ERA over 184 innings, with 248 strikeouts, 32 starts and a 1.11 WHIP snapshot pitching board — the union of MLB's top-10 pitching boards, then MLB's 1.0 IP per team game rule applied; not the league's full qualified pool

The honest caveat

The open question is workload. He is at 184 innings over 32 starts; the same rate to the end of the season means roughly 184. Velocity and innings both have to hold, and neither is guaranteed — this page reports what the measurements say, not what a medical staff knows.

Every claim above, with its source (2)
  1. 2nd in strikeouts at 248, 3rd in strikeout-minus-walk rate at 25.1% on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
  2. ERA over 184 innings, with 248 strikeouts, 32 starts and a 1.11 WHIP snapshot pitching board — the union of MLB's top-10 pitching boards, then MLB's 1.0 IP per team game rule applied; not the league's full qualified pool

The evidence

Tracked on Live Chases

The score is an editorial score, not a measurement on a common scale. The rank above is this player's position on his own category's board — the ordering the site stands behind. See all tracked chases →

Situational splits

SplitIPERASOWHIPAVG against
vs RHP 72.1 — 91 1.27 .238
vs LHP 110.0 — 157 1.03 .197
Home 107.2 2.84 150 1.04 .201
Away 76.2 5.05 98 1.21 .230
Day 81.2 2.42 114 0.94 .193
Night 102.2 4.82 134 1.25 .229

2026 season, MLB Stats API. A split with no plate appearances is omitted rather than shown as zeroes.

32G
32GS
184.1IP
14-8W-L
3.76ERA
1.11WHIP
248K
12.11K/9
0SV

Strikeout chase

ChaseCurrentPaceNeeded from hereStatus
200 K 248 248 done ACHIEVED
250 K 248 248 2 K · — per team game IMPOSSIBLE
300 K 248 248 52 K · — per team game IMPOSSIBLE
350 K 248 248 102 K · — per team game IMPOSSIBLE
383 K 248 248 135 K · — per team game IMPOSSIBLE

ERA & WHIP finish lines

FinishCurrentRequired rest-of-seasonStatus
Sub-2.00 ERA3.76 — IMPOSSIBLE
Sub-1.75 ERA3.76 — IMPOSSIBLE
Sub-1.50 ERA3.76 — IMPOSSIBLE
Sub-1.00 WHIP1.11 — IMPOSSIBLE
Sub-0.90 WHIP1.11 — IMPOSSIBLE

Recent game log

Derived nightly from the snapshot ledger — each row is the difference between consecutive days; multi-day rows are labeled.

DateOppResultIPK
2026-09-25 Kansas City Royals W 12-9 3.14
2026-09-20 Athletics W 1-0 7.09
2026-09-14 Chicago White Sox L 3-7 5.07
2026-09-06 Detroit Tigers W 3-2 6.011
2026-08-20 San Francisco Giants W 5-2 5.211
2026-08-14 San Diego Padres L 5-7 4.15
2026-08-08 Chicago White Sox L 3-6 5.27
2026-08-02 Arizona Diamondbacks W 5-0 5.210
2026-07-28 Cincinnati Reds W 6-5 7.012
2026-07-23 Minnesota Twins L 1-3 7.011

Recent highlights

Lahman + Retrosheet context

How this season fits history

Comparable finishesMedian 268 K

n=28 near this checkpoint

Chase history

12318624807-0510-30
Strikeouts, day by day
21723725707-0510-30
Projected season K, day by day

Stuff watch

Sweeper velocity, start by start

Every start's average against his own trailing baseline of 87.9 ± 0.72 mph. Ringed dots sit more than one standard deviation under the baseline; last start 87.67 mph (2026-09-25).

89862026-04-01: 87.44 mph (n=23)2026-04-07: 85.97 mph (n=29)2026-04-13: 86.69 mph (n=32)2026-04-18: 86.72 mph (n=37)2026-04-24: 86.45 mph (n=31)2026-04-29: 85.96 mph (n=13)2026-05-05: 86.64 mph (n=26)2026-05-10: 87.41 mph (n=25)2026-05-17: 88.24 mph (n=16)2026-05-22: 87.59 mph (n=34)2026-05-27: 87.26 mph (n=19)2026-06-03: 88.1 mph (n=27)2026-06-08: 88.91 mph (n=15)2026-06-17: 86.89 mph (n=23)2026-06-22: 87.9 mph (n=24)2026-06-28: 88.93 mph (n=32)2026-07-03: 88.72 mph (n=25)2026-07-09: 87.52 mph (n=34)2026-07-18: 86.77 mph (n=13)2026-07-23: 88.22 mph (n=40)2026-07-28: 88.57 mph (n=43)2026-08-02: 87.48 mph (n=39)2026-09-01: 88.45 mph (n=18)2026-09-06: 87.15 mph (n=32)2026-09-14: 88.15 mph (n=26)2026-09-20: 87.57 mph (n=39)2026-09-25: 87.67 mph (n=27)

No active signals — inside one standard deviation of his own baseline. A trend report, not a diagnosis.