87% season-shape match
Why he matters right now
Michael Harris II has already passed his career best in home runs
He has 24; his previous best was 20, in 2025. That is measured over the four seasons of at least 200 at-bats he has played.
The case in 30 seconds
- 24 24 home runs, past his previous best of 20 in 2025 year-by-year record, 4 prior seasons since 2022 (MLB Stats API, cached)
- 32 6th in doubles at 32 on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
The honest caveat
A career-best total is measured against his own record and nobody else's, and for most players that record is short. Beating it says this year is his best; it says nothing about where the season sits in the league, and a young player passing an early-career mark is closer to normal than to remarkable.
What to watch next
Next up: at Philadelphia Phillies.
Every claim above, with its source (2)
- 24 home runs, past his previous best of 20 in 2025 year-by-year record, 4 prior seasons since 2022 (MLB Stats API, cached)
- 6th in doubles at 32 on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
Other cases this page considered and did not lead with: Michael Harris II is top-10 in the majors in doubles.
The evidence
What changed last night
0-for-4
L 2-4 vs Philadelphia Phillies · 2026-09-05
carries a .291 average into today
What to watch next
at Philadelphia Phillies
Citizens Bank Park · 1:10 p.m. ET
Facing Aaron Nola
Michael Harris II faces a right-hander in Aaron Nola. He is hitting .304 with 16 home runs in 332 at-bats against right-handers this season.
Situational splits
| Split | AB | AVG | HR | RBI | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP | 332 | .304 | 16 | 55 | .845 |
| vs LHP | 183 | .268 | 8 | 25 | .763 |
| Home | 249 | .289 | 11 | 45 | .808 |
| Away | 266 | .293 | 13 | 35 | .823 |
| Day | 155 | .258 | 5 | 21 | .701 |
| Night | 360 | .306 | 19 | 59 | .865 |
2026 season, MLB Stats API. A split with no plate appearances is omitted rather than shown as zeroes.
136G
515AB
150H
.291AVG
24HR
80RBI
10SB
322B
13B
.816OPS
Chasing .400
.291Current AVG
94Consecutive hits needed to reach .400
96-for-100Needed over next 100 AB
1.178Rest-of-season AVG to finish .400 (86-for-73)
Status: IMPOSSIBLE
Milestone tracker
| Chase | Target | Current | Pace | Needed from here | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| .350 AVG | .350 | .291 | .291 | .767 ROS | EXTREME |
| .380 AVG | .380 | .291 | .291 | 1.014 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .400 AVG | .400 | .291 | .291 | 1.178 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .406 AVG | .406 | .291 | .291 | 1.219 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .466 AVG | .466 | .291 | .291 | 1.712 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 50 HR | 50 | 24 | 27 | 26 in 20 g · 1 per 2.8 AB | EXTREME |
| 60 HR | 60 | 24 | 27 | 36 in 20 g · 1 per 2.0 AB | EXTREME |
| 62 HR | 62 | 24 | 27 | 38 in 20 g · 1 per 1.9 AB | EXTREME |
| 70 HR | 70 | 24 | 27 | 46 in 20 g · 1 per 1.6 AB | EXTREME |
| 73 HR | 73 | 24 | 27 | 49 in 20 g · 1 per 1.5 AB | EXTREME |
| 200 Hits | 200 | 150 | 171 | 50 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 225 Hits | 225 | 150 | 171 | 75 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 250 Hits | 250 | 150 | 171 | 100 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 262 Hits | 262 | 150 | 171 | 112 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 50 SB | 50 | 10 | 11 | 40 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 80 SB | 80 | 10 | 11 | 70 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 100 SB | 100 | 10 | 11 | 90 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 130 SB | 130 | 10 | 11 | 120 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 50 2B | 50 | 32 | 37 | 18 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 60 2B | 60 | 32 | 37 | 28 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 67 2B | 67 | 32 | 37 | 35 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 20 3B | 20 | 1 | 1 | 19 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 25 3B | 25 | 1 | 1 | 24 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 36 3B | 36 | 1 | 1 | 35 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 125 RBI | 125 | 80 | 91 | 45 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 150 RBI | 150 | 80 | 91 | 70 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 175 RBI | 175 | 80 | 91 | 95 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 191 RBI | 191 | 80 | 91 | 111 in 20 g | EXTREME |
How likely is the finish?
0%finishes with 40+ home runs
0%finishes with 50+ home runs
0%finishes with 60+ home runs
His rate of 44.280 home runs per 1,000 plate appearances is read as 41.380 after regressing toward the league's 30.150 — a leaderboard selects for players who have outperformed, so an unregressed rate projected forward overstates every one of them. That puts the expected finish at 26.6, against a straight team-game pace of 27. Exact beta-binomial over 76 remaining plate appearances, averaged across playing-time scenarios. Calibrated against Retrosheet finishes: within 7 points of observed frequency in every band, and within 2 in three of five. It is a model, not a measurement.
Home run pace vs the benchmark seasons
0.0%of comparable chases reached 40 HR
0.0%of comparable chases reached 50 HR
0.0%of comparable chases reached 60 HR
Empirical: seasons within ±2 HR of his total at the same team-game checkpoint (n=1333); median finish 26. Retrosheet.
Recent game log
Derived nightly from the snapshot ledger — each row is the difference between consecutive days; multi-day rows are labeled.
| Date | Opp | Result | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | SB | BB | K | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Philadelphia Phillies | L 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .291 |
| 2026-09-04 | Philadelphia Phillies | W 5-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .294 |
| 2026-09-01 | Washington Nationals | L 5-9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .295 |
| 2026-08-31 | San Francisco Giants | L 3-7 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .296 |
| 2026-08-30 | Colorado Rockies | W 3-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .295 |
| 2026-08-29 | Colorado Rockies | W 2-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .296 |
| 2026-08-28 | Colorado Rockies | W 6-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .294 |
| 2026-08-27 | Los Angeles Dodgers | W 1-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .292 |
| 2026-08-26 | Los Angeles Dodgers | W 6-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .291 |
| 2026-08-25 | Los Angeles Dodgers | W 4-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .293 |
Recent highlights
▶︎
Michael Harris II's go-ahead two-run double2026-08-29 · Michael Harris II's go-ahead double in the 8th put the Braves ahead for good in a 2-1 win over the Rockies
▶︎
Michael Harris II's go-ahead single2026-08-09 · Michael Harris II's tiebreaking single in the 10th put the Braves ahead for good against the Yankees
▶︎
Michael Harris II's four-hit game2026-05-08 · Michael Harris II — a bench bat with 36 games played — went a perfect 4-for-4
Lahman + Retrosheet context
How this season fits history
Through 142 team games; 60 in 2001