86% season-shape match
Why he matters right now
Alec Burleson is top-10 in the majors in RBI and doubles
He is 2nd in RBI at 102, 4th in doubles at 33 — placements on MLB's own season boards, which rank every QUALIFIED hitter in the sport rather than the few dozen this site tracks. Qualified is MLB's own bar, and it is the reason a part-season player with a big number is not on these boards at all.
The story changed tonight — this page led with a different case yesterday.
The case in 30 seconds
- 102 2nd in RBI at 102, 4th in doubles at 33 on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
- 102 102 RBI, past his previous best of 78 in 2024 year-by-year record, 3 prior seasons since 2023 (MLB Stats API, cached)
The honest caveat
It is still a partial season — 595 plate appearances so far. A rate moves fastest against the strongest arms a schedule has left, and the schedule ahead is not the schedule behind.
What to watch next
Next up: at Colorado Rockies. 23 more to reach 125 RBI.
Every claim above, with its source (2)
- 2nd in RBI at 102, 4th in doubles at 33 on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
- 102 RBI, past his previous best of 78 in 2024 year-by-year record, 3 prior seasons since 2023 (MLB Stats API, cached)
Other cases this page considered and did not lead with: Alec Burleson has already passed his career best in RBI.
The evidence
Tracked on Live Chases
- 53 RBI Notable · WATCH No. 2 of 3rbi chases 102 record 191 — Hack Wilson, 1930 116projected, against 125 · near pace
The score is an editorial score, not a measurement on a common scale. The rank above is this player's position on his own category's board — the ordering the site stands behind. See all tracked chases →
What changed last night
1 RBI
W 7-6 vs Colorado Rockies · 2026-09-04
carries a .281 average into today
What to watch next
at Colorado Rockies
Coors Field · 8:10 p.m. ET
Facing Mason Adams
Alec Burleson faces a right-hander in Mason Adams. He is hitting .314 with 18 home runs in 363 at-bats against right-handers this season.
Situational splits
| Split | AB | AVG | HR | RBI | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP | 363 | .314 | 18 | 68 | .932 |
| vs LHP | 174 | .213 | 3 | 34 | .546 |
| Home | 265 | .260 | 7 | 46 | .737 |
| Away | 272 | .301 | 14 | 56 | .878 |
| Day | 219 | .311 | 7 | 48 | .826 |
| Night | 318 | .261 | 14 | 54 | .796 |
2026 season, MLB Stats API. A split with no plate appearances is omitted rather than shown as zeroes.
141G
537AB
151H
.281AVG
21HR
102RBI
4SB
332B
13B
.809OPS
Chasing .400
.281Current AVG
107Consecutive hits needed to reach .400
104-for-100Needed over next 100 AB
1.250Rest-of-season AVG to finish .400 (95-for-76)
Status: IMPOSSIBLE
Milestone tracker
| Chase | Target | Current | Pace | Needed from here | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| .350 AVG | .350 | .281 | .281 | .842 ROS | EXTREME |
| .380 AVG | .380 | .281 | .281 | 1.079 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .400 AVG | .400 | .281 | .281 | 1.250 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .406 AVG | .406 | .281 | .281 | 1.289 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .466 AVG | .466 | .281 | .281 | 1.776 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 50 HR | 50 | 21 | 24 | 29 in 20 g · 1 per 2.6 AB | EXTREME |
| 60 HR | 60 | 21 | 24 | 39 in 20 g · 1 per 1.9 AB | EXTREME |
| 62 HR | 62 | 21 | 24 | 41 in 20 g · 1 per 1.8 AB | EXTREME |
| 70 HR | 70 | 21 | 24 | 49 in 20 g · 1 per 1.5 AB | EXTREME |
| 73 HR | 73 | 21 | 24 | 52 in 20 g · 1 per 1.5 AB | EXTREME |
| 200 Hits | 200 | 151 | 172 | 49 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 225 Hits | 225 | 151 | 172 | 74 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 250 Hits | 250 | 151 | 172 | 99 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 262 Hits | 262 | 151 | 172 | 111 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 50 SB | 50 | 4 | 5 | 46 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 80 SB | 80 | 4 | 5 | 76 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 100 SB | 100 | 4 | 5 | 96 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 130 SB | 130 | 4 | 5 | 126 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 50 2B | 50 | 33 | 38 | 17 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 60 2B | 60 | 33 | 38 | 27 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 67 2B | 67 | 33 | 38 | 34 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 20 3B | 20 | 1 | 1 | 19 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 25 3B | 25 | 1 | 1 | 24 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 36 3B | 36 | 1 | 1 | 35 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 125 RBI | 125 | 102 | 116 | 23 in 20 g | NEAR PACE |
| 150 RBI | 150 | 102 | 116 | 48 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 175 RBI | 175 | 102 | 116 | 73 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 191 RBI | 191 | 102 | 116 | 89 in 20 g | EXTREME |
How likely is the finish?
0%finishes with 40+ home runs
0%finishes with 50+ home runs
0%finishes with 60+ home runs
His rate of 35.290 home runs per 1,000 plate appearances is read as 34.310 after regressing toward the league's 30.130 — a leaderboard selects for players who have outperformed, so an unregressed rate projected forward overstates every one of them. That puts the expected finish at 23.4, against a straight team-game pace of 24. Exact beta-binomial over 84 remaining plate appearances, averaged across playing-time scenarios. Calibrated against Retrosheet finishes: within 7 points of observed frequency in every band, and within 2 in three of five. It is a model, not a measurement.
Home run pace vs the benchmark seasons
0.0%of comparable chases reached 40 HR
0.0%of comparable chases reached 50 HR
0.0%of comparable chases reached 60 HR
Empirical: seasons within ±2 HR of his total at the same team-game checkpoint (n=1792); median finish 23. Retrosheet.
Recent game log
Derived nightly from the snapshot ledger — each row is the difference between consecutive days; multi-day rows are labeled.
| Date | Opp | Result | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | SB | BB | K | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Colorado Rockies | W 7-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .281 |
| 2026-09-03 | Los Angeles Dodgers | L 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .282 |
| 2026-09-01 | Los Angeles Dodgers | W 13-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .283 |
| 2026-08-31 | — | — | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .285 |
| 2026-08-30 | Pittsburgh Pirates | L 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .288 |
| 2026-08-29 | Pittsburgh Pirates | L 2-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .288 |
| 2026-08-28 | Pittsburgh Pirates | W 4-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .290 |
| 2026-08-27 | Baltimore Orioles | W 7-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .292 |
| 2026-08-26 | Baltimore Orioles | L 7-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .291 |
| 2026-08-25 | Baltimore Orioles | L 1-13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .291 |
Recent highlights
Lahman + Retrosheet context
How this season fits history
Through 142 team games; 60 in 2001