Cade Cavalli headshot

Cade Cavalli

Washington Nationals · through 2026-09-05

On the league boards

Why he matters right now

Cade Cavalli is top-10 in the majors in strikeouts

He is 7th in strikeouts at 185 — placements on MLB's own season boards, which rank every QUALIFIED pitcher in the sport rather than the few dozen this site tracks. Qualified is MLB's own bar, and it is the reason a part-season player with a big number is not on these boards at all.

The story changed tonight — this page led with a different case yesterday.

The case in 30 seconds

  • 185 7th in strikeouts at 185 on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
  • 3.12 ERA over 159 innings, with 185 strikeouts, 30 starts and a 1.18 WHIP snapshot pitching board — the union of MLB's top-10 pitching boards, then MLB's 1.0 IP per team game rule applied; not the league's full qualified pool

The honest caveat

A top-ten finish is a position on a board, not a verdict on a player. The men just below him on it are not meaningfully worse, and one good week moves several places.

What to watch next

Next up: at Los Angeles Dodgers. 15 more to reach 200 SO.

Every claim above, with its source (2)
  1. 7th in strikeouts at 185 on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
  2. ERA over 159 innings, with 185 strikeouts, 30 starts and a 1.18 WHIP snapshot pitching board — the union of MLB's top-10 pitching boards, then MLB's 1.0 IP per team game rule applied; not the league's full qualified pool

The evidence

What changed last night

8 K in 6.0 IP L 5-6 vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2026-09-05

What to watch next

at Los Angeles Dodgers UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium · 10:10 p.m. ET Opposite Justin Wrobleski

Situational splits

SplitIPERASOWHIPAVG against
vs RHP 64.2 78 1.13 .220
vs LHP 93.0 107 1.23 .246
Home 85.1 3.27 99 1.21 .241
Away 73.1 2.95 86 1.15 .229
Day 82.2 3.16 89 1.19 .244
Night 76.0 3.08 96 1.17 .226

2026 season, MLB Stats API. A split with no plate appearances is omitted rather than shown as zeroes.

30G
30GS
158.2IP
12-5W-L
3.12ERA
1.18WHIP
185K
10.49K/9
0SV

Strikeout chase

ChaseCurrentPaceNeeded from hereStatus
200 K 185 208 15 K · 3.9 per outing over 3.8 left ON PACE
250 K 185 208 65 K · 17.1 per outing over 3.8 left EXTREME
300 K 185 208 115 K · 30.3 per outing over 3.8 left IMPOSSIBLE
350 K 185 208 165 K · 43.4 per outing over 3.8 left IMPOSSIBLE
383 K 185 208 198 K · 52.1 per outing over 3.8 left IMPOSSIBLE

ERA & WHIP finish lines

FinishCurrentRequired rest-of-seasonStatus
Sub-2.00 ERA3.12 -6.96 over about 20 innings IMPOSSIBLE
Sub-1.75 ERA3.12 -9.21 over about 20 innings IMPOSSIBLE
Sub-1.50 ERA3.12 -11.46 over about 20 innings IMPOSSIBLE
Sub-1.00 WHIP1.18 -0.43 IMPOSSIBLE
Sub-0.90 WHIP1.18 -1.33 IMPOSSIBLE

Recent game log

Derived nightly from the snapshot ledger — each row is the difference between consecutive days; multi-day rows are labeled.

DateOppResultIPK
2026-09-05 Los Angeles Dodgers L 5-6 6.08

Recent highlights

Lahman + Retrosheet context

How this season fits history

Comparable finishesMedian 200 K

n=179 near this checkpoint

Chase history

16217418508-1909-05
Strikeouts, day by day
20020420808-1909-05
Projected season K, day by day

Stuff watch

Four-seamer velocity, start by start

Every start's average against his own trailing baseline of 96.9 ± 0.67 mph. Ringed dots sit more than one standard deviation under the baseline; last start 97.65 mph (2026-09-05).

98962026-03-26: 96.46 mph (n=29)2026-04-01: 96.0 mph (n=30)2026-04-07: 95.61 mph (n=32)2026-04-13: 96.04 mph (n=17)2026-04-18: 96.45 mph (n=31)2026-04-23: 97.1 mph (n=27)2026-04-29: 96.18 mph (n=35)2026-05-05: 96.97 mph (n=20)2026-05-10: 95.93 mph (n=27)2026-05-16: 97.73 mph (n=31)2026-05-21: 96.66 mph (n=31)2026-05-26: 97.11 mph (n=31)2026-06-01: 97.16 mph (n=33)2026-06-07: 96.5 mph (n=29)2026-06-13: 97.28 mph (n=30)2026-06-20: 95.7 mph (n=22)2026-06-25: 97.32 mph (n=40)2026-06-30: 98.19 mph (n=36)2026-07-05: 96.31 mph (n=21)2026-07-12: 96.31 mph (n=36)2026-07-17: 97.32 mph (n=33)2026-07-22: 97.04 mph (n=33)2026-07-28: 97.35 mph (n=25)2026-08-02: 97.05 mph (n=22)2026-09-05: 97.65 mph (n=25)

No active signals — inside one standard deviation of his own baseline. A trend report, not a diagnosis.