Julio Rodríguez headshot

Julio Rodríguez

Seattle Mariners · CF · through 2026-08-07

Season in context

Why he matters right now

Julio Rodríguez is having a solid, ordinary season

No historic chase, no league lead, no milestone in range — 33rd in batting average among 50 qualified hitters; 18 home runs. The numbers below are the whole story, and that is a perfectly normal thing for a big-league season to be.

New on this page tonight.

The case in 30 seconds

  • no thesis cleared its evidence threshold; 33rd of 50 in the qualified population player_story tier scan — deliberate no-story outcome

What to watch next

Next up: vs Tampa Bay Rays.

The evidence

What to watch next

vs Tampa Bay Rays T-Mobile Park · 9:50 p.m. ET Facing Griffin Jax

Julio Rodríguez faces a right-hander in Griffin Jax. He is hitting .264 with 10 home runs in 303 at-bats against right-handers this season.

Situational splits

SplitABAVGHRRBIOPS
vs RHP 303 .264 1034 .725
vs LHP 112 .250 817 .824
Home 205 .283 1228 .848
Away 210 .238 623 .657
Day 156 .237 416 .646
Night 259 .274 1435 .816

2026 season, MLB Stats API. A split with no plate appearances is omitted rather than shown as zeroes.

106G
415AB
108H
.260AVG
18HR
51RBI
15SB
162B
03B
.752OPS

Chasing .400

.260Current AVG
97Consecutive hits needed to reach .400
98-for-100Needed over next 100 AB
.762Rest-of-season AVG to finish .400 (122-for-160)

Status: EXTREME

Milestone tracker

ChaseTargetCurrentPaceNeeded from hereStatus
.350 AVG .350 .260 .260 .588 ROS EXTREME
.380 AVG .380 .260 .260 .694 ROS EXTREME
.400 AVG .400 .260 .260 .762 ROS EXTREME
.406 AVG .406 .260 .260 .787 ROS EXTREME
.466 AVG .466 .260 .260 1.000 ROS EXTREME
50 HR 50 18 25 32 in 45 g · 1 per 5.0 AB EXTREME
60 HR 60 18 25 42 in 45 g · 1 per 3.8 AB EXTREME
62 HR 62 18 25 44 in 45 g · 1 per 3.6 AB EXTREME
70 HR 70 18 25 52 in 45 g · 1 per 3.1 AB EXTREME
73 HR 73 18 25 55 in 45 g · 1 per 2.9 AB EXTREME
200 Hits 200 108 150 92 in 45 g EXTREME
225 Hits 225 108 150 117 in 45 g EXTREME
250 Hits 250 108 150 142 in 45 g EXTREME
262 Hits 262 108 150 154 in 45 g EXTREME
50 SB 50 15 21 35 in 45 g EXTREME
80 SB 80 15 21 65 in 45 g EXTREME
100 SB 100 15 21 85 in 45 g EXTREME
130 SB 130 15 21 115 in 45 g EXTREME
50 2B 50 16 22 34 in 45 g EXTREME
60 2B 60 16 22 44 in 45 g EXTREME
67 2B 67 16 22 51 in 45 g EXTREME
20 3B 20 0 0 20 in 45 g EXTREME
25 3B 25 0 0 25 in 45 g EXTREME
36 3B 36 0 0 36 in 45 g EXTREME
125 RBI 125 51 71 74 in 45 g EXTREME
150 RBI 150 51 71 99 in 45 g EXTREME
175 RBI 175 51 71 124 in 45 g EXTREME
191 RBI 191 51 71 140 in 45 g EXTREME

Home run pace vs the benchmark seasons

36730162 gJudge 62Bonds 7318
Cumulative home runs by team game against straight 62 (Judge 2022) and 73 (Bonds 2001) paces. The homepage checkpoint card uses the exact game-by-game Retrosheet curves; these reference lines are straight-line paces.
0.0%of comparable chases reached 40 HR
0.0%of comparable chases reached 50 HR
0.0%of comparable chases reached 60 HR

Empirical: seasons within ±2 HR of his total at the same team-game checkpoint (n=2058); median finish 23. Retrosheet.

Recent game log

Derived nightly from the snapshot ledger — each row is the difference between consecutive days; multi-day rows are labeled.

DateOppResultABHHRRBIRSBBBKAVG
2026-07-02 Los Angeles Angels W 1-0 00 0 00 01 0 .259
2026-06-30 Los Angeles Angels W 8-3 53 0 02 00 1 .259
2026-06-29 Los Angeles Angels W 6-2 31 0 00 01 0 .254
2026-06-28 Cleveland Guardians L 5-6 42 0 11 11 2 .253
2026-06-27 Cleveland Guardians L 3-4 42 0 01 00 0 .250
2026-06-26 Cleveland Guardians W 3-1 41 0 10 00 2 .247

Recent highlights

▶︎
Julio Rodríguez ties game with first homer of season2026-04-11 · Julio Rodríguez hit his first home run of the season — in his game No. 15

Lahman + Retrosheet context

How this season fits history

Historical twinBrandon Phillips · 2008

83% season-shape match

Chase history

.247.258.26905-3008-07
Batting average, day by day
23283305-3008-07
Projected HR, day by day