Ceddanne Rafaela headshot

Ceddanne Rafaela

Boston Red Sox · CF · through 2026-09-05

Career year

Why he matters right now

Ceddanne Rafaela has already passed his career best in hits

He has 151; his previous best was 136, in 2025. That is measured over the two seasons of at least 200 at-bats he has played.

The case in 30 seconds

  • 151 151 hits, past his previous best of 136 in 2025 year-by-year record, 2 prior seasons since 2024 (MLB Stats API, cached)
  • 32 6th in doubles at 32 on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)

The honest caveat

A career-best total is measured against his own record and nobody else's, and for most players that record is short. Beating it says this year is his best; it says nothing about where the season sits in the league, and a young player passing an early-career mark is closer to normal than to remarkable.

What to watch next

Next up: at Baltimore Orioles.

Every claim above, with its source (2)
  1. 151 hits, past his previous best of 136 in 2025 year-by-year record, 2 prior seasons since 2024 (MLB Stats API, cached)
  2. 6th in doubles at 32 on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)

Other cases this page considered and did not lead with: Ceddanne Rafaela is top-10 in the majors in doubles.

The evidence

What to watch next

at Baltimore Orioles Oriole Park at Camden Yards · 1:35 p.m. ET Facing Kyle Bradish

Ceddanne Rafaela faces a right-hander in Kyle Bradish. He is hitting .286 with 11 home runs in 395 at-bats against right-handers this season.

Situational splits

SplitABAVGHRRBIOPS
vs RHP 395 .286 1144 .746
vs LHP 140 .271 526 .801
Home 271 .288 636 .739
Away 264 .277 1034 .783
Day 203 .281 321 .735
Night 332 .283 1349 .776

2026 season, MLB Stats API. A split with no plate appearances is omitted rather than shown as zeroes.

135G
535AB
151H
.282AVG
16HR
70RBI
17SB
322B
33B
.760OPS

Chasing .400

.282Current AVG
105Consecutive hits needed to reach .400
103-for-100Needed over next 100 AB
1.296Rest-of-season AVG to finish .400 (92-for-71)

Status: IMPOSSIBLE

Milestone tracker

ChaseTargetCurrentPaceNeeded from hereStatus
.350 AVG .350 .282 .282 .873 ROS EXTREME
.380 AVG .380 .282 .282 1.127 ROS IMPOSSIBLE
.400 AVG .400 .282 .282 1.296 ROS IMPOSSIBLE
.406 AVG .406 .282 .282 1.352 ROS IMPOSSIBLE
.466 AVG .466 .282 .282 1.859 ROS IMPOSSIBLE
50 HR 50 16 18 34 in 19 g · 1 per 2.1 AB EXTREME
60 HR 60 16 18 44 in 19 g · 1 per 1.6 AB EXTREME
62 HR 62 16 18 46 in 19 g · 1 per 1.5 AB EXTREME
70 HR 70 16 18 54 in 19 g · 1 per 1.3 AB EXTREME
73 HR 73 16 18 57 in 19 g · 1 per 1.2 AB EXTREME
200 Hits 200 151 171 49 in 19 g EXTREME
225 Hits 225 151 171 74 in 19 g EXTREME
250 Hits 250 151 171 99 in 19 g EXTREME
262 Hits 262 151 171 111 in 19 g EXTREME
50 SB 50 17 19 33 in 19 g EXTREME
80 SB 80 17 19 63 in 19 g EXTREME
100 SB 100 17 19 83 in 19 g EXTREME
130 SB 130 17 19 113 in 19 g EXTREME
50 2B 50 32 36 18 in 19 g EXTREME
60 2B 60 32 36 28 in 19 g EXTREME
67 2B 67 32 36 35 in 19 g EXTREME
20 3B 20 3 3 17 in 19 g EXTREME
25 3B 25 3 3 22 in 19 g EXTREME
36 3B 36 3 3 33 in 19 g EXTREME
125 RBI 125 70 79 55 in 19 g EXTREME
150 RBI 150 70 79 80 in 19 g EXTREME
175 RBI 175 70 79 105 in 19 g EXTREME
191 RBI 191 70 79 121 in 19 g EXTREME

Home run pace vs the benchmark seasons

36730162 gJudge 62Bonds 7316
Cumulative home runs by team game against straight 62 (Judge 2022) and 73 (Bonds 2001) paces. The homepage checkpoint card uses the exact game-by-game Retrosheet curves; these reference lines are straight-line paces.
0.0%of comparable chases reached 40 HR
0.0%of comparable chases reached 50 HR
0.0%of comparable chases reached 60 HR

Empirical: seasons within ±2 HR of his total at the same team-game checkpoint (n=2659); median finish 17. Retrosheet.

Recent game log

Derived nightly from the snapshot ledger — each row is the difference between consecutive days; multi-day rows are labeled.

DateOppResultABHHRRBIRSBBBKAVG
2026-09-01 Seattle Mariners L 6-9 31 0 00 00 0 .282
2026-08-31 Seattle Mariners W 9-8 72 0 30 00 3 .282
2026-08-30 New York Yankees L 1-16 40 0 00 00 1 .282
2026-08-29 New York Yankees W 6-0 91 0 10 00 0 .284
2026-08-28 New York Yankees L 0-1 42 0 00 00 2 .287
2026-08-26 Miami Marlins L 0-4 40 0 00 00 1 .285
2026-08-25 Miami Marlins W 7-3 51 0 00 00 1 .288
2026-08-24 Miami Marlins W 4-2 51 0 00 00 1 .289
2026-08-23 San Francisco Giants W 5-4 43 0 20 10 0 .289
2026-08-22 San Francisco Giants W 3-2 31 0 00 02 1 .286

Lahman + Retrosheet context

How this season fits history

Historical twinIan Desmond · 2013

91% season-shape match

Chase history

.276.282.28905-0509-05
Batting average, day by day
9162205-0509-05
Projected HR, day by day