89% season-shape match
Why he matters right now
Ceddanne Rafaela has already passed his career best in hits
He has 151; his previous best was 136, in 2025. That is measured over the two seasons of at least 200 at-bats he has played.
This has been his headline for 7 straight days.
The case in 30 seconds
- 151 151 hits, past his previous best of 136 in 2025 year-by-year record, 2 prior seasons since 2024 (MLB Stats API, cached)
- 32 8th in doubles at 32 on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
The honest caveat
Ceddanne Rafaela has 16 home runs and none in 12 games — the longest quiet stretch of his season. It does not undo the case above; it is the part of the record that argues the other way.
What to watch next
Next up: vs Kansas City Royals.
Every claim above, with its source (3)
- 151 hits, past his previous best of 136 in 2025 year-by-year record, 2 prior seasons since 2024 (MLB Stats API, cached)
- 8th in doubles at 32 on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has 16 home runs and none in 12 games — the longest quiet stretch of his season. nightly anomaly scan (drought detector), player id matched
Other cases this page considered and did not lead with: Ceddanne Rafaela is top-10 in the majors in doubles; Ceddanne Rafaela has gone quiet.
The evidence
What to watch next
vs Kansas City Royals
Fenway Park · 4:10 p.m. ET
Facing Randy Dobnak
Ceddanne Rafaela faces a right-hander in Randy Dobnak. He is hitting .286 with 11 home runs in 395 at-bats against right-handers this season.
Situational splits
| Split | AB | AVG | HR | RBI | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP | 395 | .286 | 11 | 44 | .746 |
| vs LHP | 140 | .271 | 5 | 26 | .801 |
| Home | 271 | .288 | 6 | 36 | .739 |
| Away | 264 | .277 | 10 | 34 | .783 |
| Day | 203 | .281 | 3 | 21 | .735 |
| Night | 332 | .283 | 13 | 49 | .776 |
2026 season, MLB Stats API. A split with no plate appearances is omitted rather than shown as zeroes.
135G
535AB
151H
.282AVG
16HR
70RBI
17SB
322B
33B
.760OPS
Chasing .400
.282Current AVG
105Consecutive hits needed to reach .400
103-for-100Needed over next 100 AB
1.647Rest-of-season AVG to finish .400 (84-for-51)
Status: IMPOSSIBLE
Milestone tracker
| Chase | Target | Current | Pace | Needed from here | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| .350 AVG | .350 | .282 | .282 | 1.078 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .380 AVG | .380 | .282 | .282 | 1.412 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .400 AVG | .400 | .282 | .282 | 1.647 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .406 AVG | .406 | .282 | .282 | 1.706 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .466 AVG | .466 | .282 | .282 | 2.412 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 50 HR | 50 | 16 | 18 | 34 in 14 g · 1 per 1.5 AB | EXTREME |
| 60 HR | 60 | 16 | 18 | 44 in 14 g · 1 per 1.2 AB | EXTREME |
| 62 HR | 62 | 16 | 18 | 46 in 14 g · 1 per 1.1 AB | EXTREME |
| 70 HR | 70 | 16 | 18 | 54 in 14 g · 1 per 0.9 AB | EXTREME |
| 73 HR | 73 | 16 | 18 | 57 in 14 g · 1 per 0.9 AB | EXTREME |
| 200 Hits | 200 | 151 | 165 | 49 in 14 g | EXTREME |
| 225 Hits | 225 | 151 | 165 | 74 in 14 g | EXTREME |
| 250 Hits | 250 | 151 | 165 | 99 in 14 g | EXTREME |
| 262 Hits | 262 | 151 | 165 | 111 in 14 g | EXTREME |
| 50 SB | 50 | 17 | 19 | 33 in 14 g | EXTREME |
| 80 SB | 80 | 17 | 19 | 63 in 14 g | EXTREME |
| 100 SB | 100 | 17 | 19 | 83 in 14 g | EXTREME |
| 130 SB | 130 | 17 | 19 | 113 in 14 g | EXTREME |
| 50 2B | 50 | 32 | 35 | 18 in 14 g | EXTREME |
| 60 2B | 60 | 32 | 35 | 28 in 14 g | EXTREME |
| 67 2B | 67 | 32 | 35 | 35 in 14 g | EXTREME |
| 20 3B | 20 | 3 | 3 | 17 in 14 g | EXTREME |
| 25 3B | 25 | 3 | 3 | 22 in 14 g | EXTREME |
| 36 3B | 36 | 3 | 3 | 33 in 14 g | EXTREME |
| 125 RBI | 125 | 70 | 77 | 55 in 14 g | EXTREME |
| 150 RBI | 150 | 70 | 77 | 80 in 14 g | EXTREME |
| 175 RBI | 175 | 70 | 77 | 105 in 14 g | EXTREME |
| 191 RBI | 191 | 70 | 77 | 121 in 14 g | EXTREME |
Home run pace vs the benchmark seasons
0.0%of comparable chases reached 40 HR
0.0%of comparable chases reached 50 HR
0.0%of comparable chases reached 60 HR
Empirical: seasons within ±2 HR of his total at the same team-game checkpoint (n=2642); median finish 17. Retrosheet.
Recent game log
Derived nightly from the snapshot ledger — each row is the difference between consecutive days; multi-day rows are labeled.
| Date | Opp | Result | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | SB | BB | K | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Seattle Mariners | L 6-9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .282 |
| 2026-08-31 | Seattle Mariners | W 9-8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .282 |
| 2026-08-30 | New York Yankees | L 1-16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .282 |
| 2026-08-29 | New York Yankees | W 6-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .284 |
| 2026-08-28 | New York Yankees | L 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .287 |
| 2026-08-26 | Miami Marlins | L 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .285 |
| 2026-08-25 | Miami Marlins | W 7-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .288 |
| 2026-08-24 | Miami Marlins | W 4-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .289 |
| 2026-08-23 | San Francisco Giants | W 5-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .289 |
| 2026-08-22 | San Francisco Giants | W 3-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | .286 |
Lahman + Retrosheet context