85% season-shape match
Why he matters right now
CJ Abrams is top-10 in the majors in RBI
He is 5th in RBI at 106 — placements on MLB's own season boards, which rank every QUALIFIED hitter in the sport rather than the few dozen this site tracks. Qualified is MLB's own bar, and it is the reason a part-season player with a big number is not on these boards at all.
This has been his headline for 29 straight days.
The case in 30 seconds
- 106 5th in RBI at 106 on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
- 33 33 home runs, past his previous best of 20 in 2024; 106 RBI, past his previous best of 65 in 2024 year-by-year record, 4 prior seasons since 2022 (MLB Stats API, cached)
The honest caveat
It is still a partial season — 654 plate appearances so far. A rate moves fastest against the strongest arms a schedule has left, and the schedule ahead is not the schedule behind.
Every claim above, with its source (2)
- 5th in RBI at 106 on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
- 33 home runs, past his previous best of 20 in 2024; 106 RBI, past his previous best of 65 in 2024 year-by-year record, 4 prior seasons since 2022 (MLB Stats API, cached)
Other cases this page considered and did not lead with: CJ Abrams has already passed his career best in home runs.
The evidence
Situational splits
| Split | AB | AVG | HR | RBI | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP | 387 | .271 | 25 | 69 | .884 |
| vs LHP | 192 | .240 | 8 | 37 | .730 |
| Home | 299 | .254 | 12 | 48 | .757 |
| Away | 280 | .268 | 21 | 58 | .915 |
| Day | 244 | .246 | 13 | 43 | .772 |
| Night | 335 | .272 | 20 | 63 | .877 |
2026 season, MLB Stats API. A split with no plate appearances is omitted rather than shown as zeroes.
152G
579AB
151H
.261AVG
33HR
106RBI
34SB
302B
43B
.833OPS
Chasing .400
.261Current AVG
135Consecutive hits needed to reach .400
121-for-100Needed over next 100 AB
—Rest-of-season AVG to finish .400 (81-for-0)
Status: IMPOSSIBLE
Milestone tracker
| Chase | Target | Current | Pace | Needed from here | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| .350 AVG | .350 | .261 | .261 | — | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .380 AVG | .380 | .261 | .261 | — | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .400 AVG | .400 | .261 | .261 | — | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .406 AVG | .406 | .261 | .261 | — | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .466 AVG | .466 | .261 | .261 | — | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 50 HR | 50 | 33 | 33 | 17 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 60 HR | 60 | 33 | 33 | 27 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 62 HR | 62 | 33 | 33 | 29 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 70 HR | 70 | 33 | 33 | 37 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 73 HR | 73 | 33 | 33 | 40 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 200 Hits | 200 | 151 | 151 | 49 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 225 Hits | 225 | 151 | 151 | 74 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 250 Hits | 250 | 151 | 151 | 99 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 262 Hits | 262 | 151 | 151 | 111 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 50 SB | 50 | 34 | 34 | 16 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 80 SB | 80 | 34 | 34 | 46 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 100 SB | 100 | 34 | 34 | 66 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 130 SB | 130 | 34 | 34 | 96 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 50 2B | 50 | 30 | 30 | 20 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 60 2B | 60 | 30 | 30 | 30 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 67 2B | 67 | 30 | 30 | 37 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 20 3B | 20 | 4 | 4 | 16 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 25 3B | 25 | 4 | 4 | 21 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 36 3B | 36 | 4 | 4 | 32 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 125 RBI | 125 | 106 | 106 | 19 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 150 RBI | 150 | 106 | 106 | 44 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 175 RBI | 175 | 106 | 106 | 69 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 191 RBI | 191 | 106 | 106 | 85 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
How likely is the finish?
0%finishes with 40+ home runs
0%finishes with 50+ home runs
0%finishes with 60+ home runs
His rate of 50.460 home runs per 1,000 plate appearances is read as 46.890 after regressing toward the league's 30.200 — a leaderboard selects for players who have outperformed, so an unregressed rate projected forward overstates every one of them. That puts the expected finish at 33.0, against a straight team-game pace of 33. Exact beta-binomial over 0 remaining plate appearances, averaged across playing-time scenarios. Calibrated against Retrosheet finishes: within 7 points of observed frequency in every band, and within 2 in three of five. It is a model, not a measurement.
Home run pace vs the benchmark seasons
0.0%of comparable chases reached 40 HR
0.0%of comparable chases reached 50 HR
0.0%of comparable chases reached 60 HR
Empirical: seasons within ±2 HR of his total at the same team-game checkpoint (n=666); median finish 33. Retrosheet.
Recent game log
Derived nightly from the snapshot ledger — each row is the difference between consecutive days; multi-day rows are labeled.
| Date | Opp | Result | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | SB | BB | K | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 (6d) | — | — | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .261 |
| 2026-09-25 | New York Mets | W 7-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .263 |
| 2026-09-23 | Detroit Tigers | W 4-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .262 |
| 2026-09-22 | Detroit Tigers | W 3-1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .261 |
| 2026-09-21 | Detroit Tigers | L 2-9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .260 |
| 2026-09-20 | St. Louis Cardinals | L 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .261 |
| 2026-09-19 | St. Louis Cardinals | W 8-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .261 |
| 2026-09-18 | St. Louis Cardinals | W 9-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .264 |
| 2026-09-16 | Philadelphia Phillies | L 0-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .264 |
| 2026-09-13 | Los Angeles Angels | W 6-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .264 |
Recent highlights
Lahman + Retrosheet context
How this season fits history
Through 162 team games; 73 in 2001