90% season-shape match
Corbin Carroll
Why he matters right now
Corbin Carroll leads the majors in triples
Through 156 games he is first in triples. It is a real league lead in a category that depends on opportunity as much as on the hitter, so the rate statistics below are the better read on how he has hit.
This has been his headline for 83 straight days.
The case in 30 seconds
- 17 No. 1 in triples on MLB's own leaderboards — 17 triples MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
- .239 .795 OPS, 22 home runs, 78 RBI and 21 stolen bases over 156 games snapshot batting board — the union of MLB's top-10 hitting boards, then MLB's 3.1 PA per team game rule applied; not the league's full qualified pool
The honest caveat
It is still a partial season — 671 plate appearances so far. A rate moves fastest against the strongest arms a schedule has left, and the schedule ahead is not the schedule behind.
Every claim above, with its source (3)
- No. 1 in triples on MLB's own leaderboards — 17 triples MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
- No. 1 in triples on MLB's leaderboard MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
- .795 OPS, 22 home runs, 78 RBI and 21 stolen bases over 156 games snapshot batting board — the union of MLB's top-10 hitting boards, then MLB's 3.1 PA per team game rule applied; not the league's full qualified pool
The evidence
Tracked on Live Chases
- 60 Triples Significant · MILESTONE No. 1 of 3triples chases 17 record 36 — Chief Wilson, 1912 17projected, against 20 · impossible
The score is an editorial score, not a measurement on a common scale. The rank above is this player's position on his own category's board — the ordering the site stands behind. See all tracked chases →
Situational splits
| Split | AB | AVG | HR | RBI | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP | 400 | .208 | 16 | 58 | .727 |
| vs LHP | 182 | .308 | 6 | 20 | .944 |
| Home | 289 | .256 | 15 | 53 | .876 |
| Away | 293 | .222 | 7 | 25 | .716 |
| Day | 210 | .257 | 9 | 25 | .869 |
| Night | 372 | .228 | 13 | 53 | .753 |
2026 season, MLB Stats API. A split with no plate appearances is omitted rather than shown as zeroes.
Chasing .400
Status: IMPOSSIBLE
Milestone tracker
| Chase | Target | Current | Pace | Needed from here | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| .350 AVG | .350 | .239 | .239 | — | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .380 AVG | .380 | .239 | .239 | — | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .400 AVG | .400 | .239 | .239 | — | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .406 AVG | .406 | .239 | .239 | — | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .466 AVG | .466 | .239 | .239 | — | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 50 HR | 50 | 22 | 22 | 28 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 60 HR | 60 | 22 | 22 | 38 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 62 HR | 62 | 22 | 22 | 40 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 70 HR | 70 | 22 | 22 | 48 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 73 HR | 73 | 22 | 22 | 51 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 200 Hits | 200 | 139 | 139 | 61 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 225 Hits | 225 | 139 | 139 | 86 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 250 Hits | 250 | 139 | 139 | 111 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 262 Hits | 262 | 139 | 139 | 123 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 50 SB | 50 | 21 | 21 | 29 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 80 SB | 80 | 21 | 21 | 59 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 100 SB | 100 | 21 | 21 | 79 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 130 SB | 130 | 21 | 21 | 109 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 50 2B | 50 | 33 | 33 | 17 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 60 2B | 60 | 33 | 33 | 27 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 67 2B | 67 | 33 | 33 | 34 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 20 3B | 20 | 17 | 17 | 3 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 25 3B | 25 | 17 | 17 | 8 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 36 3B | 36 | 17 | 17 | 19 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 125 RBI | 125 | 78 | 78 | 47 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 150 RBI | 150 | 78 | 78 | 72 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 175 RBI | 175 | 78 | 78 | 97 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 191 RBI | 191 | 78 | 78 | 113 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
How likely is the finish?
His rate of 32.790 home runs per 1,000 plate appearances is read as 32.340 after regressing toward the league's 30.200 — a leaderboard selects for players who have outperformed, so an unregressed rate projected forward overstates every one of them. That puts the expected finish at 22.0, against a straight team-game pace of 22. Exact beta-binomial over 0 remaining plate appearances, averaged across playing-time scenarios. Calibrated against Retrosheet finishes: within 7 points of observed frequency in every band, and within 2 in three of five. It is a model, not a measurement.
Home run pace vs the benchmark seasons
Empirical: seasons within ±2 HR of his total at the same team-game checkpoint (n=1788); median finish 22. Retrosheet.
Recent game log
Derived nightly from the snapshot ledger — each row is the difference between consecutive days; multi-day rows are labeled.
| Date | Opp | Result | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | SB | BB | K | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 (6d) | — | — | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .239 |
| 2026-09-25 | San Diego Padres | W 11-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .239 |
| 2026-09-24 | Colorado Rockies | W 12-8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .240 |
| 2026-09-23 | Colorado Rockies | W 5-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .240 |
| 2026-09-22 | Colorado Rockies | W 7-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .240 |
| 2026-09-20 | New York Yankees | W 8-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .240 |
| 2026-09-19 | New York Yankees | W 5-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .239 |
| 2026-09-18 | New York Yankees | L 2-9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .240 |
| 2026-09-16 | Miami Marlins | L 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .238 |
| 2026-09-15 | Miami Marlins | L 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .240 |
Recent highlights
Lahman + Retrosheet context
How this season fits history
Through 162 team games; 73 in 2001