Jordan Walker headshot

Jordan Walker

St. Louis Cardinals · RF · through 2026-09-11

Elite season

Why he matters right now

Jordan Walker is top-10 in the majors in RBI, doubles and total bases (and 1 other board)

He is 3rd in RBI at 100, 5th in doubles at 33, 7th in total bases at 276 — placements on MLB's own season boards, which rank every QUALIFIED hitter in the sport rather than the few dozen this site tracks. Qualified is MLB's own bar, and it is the reason a part-season player with a big number is not on these boards at all.

This has been his headline for 3 straight days.

The case in 30 seconds

  • 100 3rd in RBI at 100, 5th in doubles at 33, 7th in total bases at 276 on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
  • 100 100 RBI, past his previous best of 51 in 2023; 92 runs, past his previous best of 51 in 2023; 28 home runs, past his previous best of 16 in 2023; 159 hits, past his previous best of 116 in 2023 year-by-year record, 2 prior seasons since 2023 (MLB Stats API, cached)

The honest caveat

It is still a partial season — 615 plate appearances so far. A rate moves fastest against the strongest arms a schedule has left, and the schedule ahead is not the schedule behind.

What to watch next

Next up: vs Chicago White Sox.

Every claim above, with its source (2)
  1. 3rd in RBI at 100, 5th in doubles at 33, 7th in total bases at 276 on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
  2. 100 RBI, past his previous best of 51 in 2023; 92 runs, past his previous best of 51 in 2023; 28 home runs, past his previous best of 16 in 2023; 159 hits, past his previous best of 116 in 2023 year-by-year record, 2 prior seasons since 2023 (MLB Stats API, cached)

Other cases this page considered and did not lead with: Jordan Walker has already passed his career best in RBI.

The evidence

Tracked on Live Chases

The score is an editorial score, not a measurement on a common scale. The rank above is this player's position on his own category's board — the ordering the site stands behind. See all tracked chases →

What changed last night

2-for-4 W 7-3 vs Chicago White Sox · 2026-09-11 carries a .283 average into today

What to watch next

vs Chicago White Sox Busch Stadium · 7:15 p.m. ET Facing Sean Newcomb

Jordan Walker faces a left-hander in Sean Newcomb. He is hitting .297 with 9 home runs in 145 at-bats against left-handers this season.

Situational splits

SplitABAVGHRRBIOPS
vs RHP 417 .278 1978 .799
vs LHP 145 .297 922 .916
Home 270 .285 1031 .787
Away 292 .281 1869 .868
Day 218 .257 1445 .827
Night 344 .299 1455 .831

2026 season, MLB Stats API. A split with no plate appearances is omitted rather than shown as zeroes.

144G
562AB
159H
.283AVG
28HR
100RBI
19SB
332B
03B
.829OPS

Chasing .400

.283Current AVG
110Consecutive hits needed to reach .400
106-for-100Needed over next 100 AB
1.642Rest-of-season AVG to finish .400 (87-for-53)

Status: IMPOSSIBLE

Milestone tracker

ChaseTargetCurrentPaceNeeded from hereStatus
.350 AVG .350 .283 .283 1.075 ROS IMPOSSIBLE
.380 AVG .380 .283 .283 1.415 ROS IMPOSSIBLE
.400 AVG .400 .283 .283 1.642 ROS IMPOSSIBLE
.406 AVG .406 .283 .283 1.717 ROS IMPOSSIBLE
.466 AVG .466 .283 .283 2.415 ROS IMPOSSIBLE
50 HR 50 28 31 22 in 14 g · 1 per 2.4 AB EXTREME
60 HR 60 28 31 32 in 14 g · 1 per 1.7 AB EXTREME
62 HR 62 28 31 34 in 14 g · 1 per 1.6 AB EXTREME
70 HR 70 28 31 42 in 14 g · 1 per 1.3 AB EXTREME
73 HR 73 28 31 45 in 14 g · 1 per 1.2 AB EXTREME
200 Hits 200 159 174 41 in 14 g EXTREME
225 Hits 225 159 174 66 in 14 g EXTREME
250 Hits 250 159 174 91 in 14 g EXTREME
262 Hits 262 159 174 103 in 14 g EXTREME
50 SB 50 19 21 31 in 14 g EXTREME
80 SB 80 19 21 61 in 14 g EXTREME
100 SB 100 19 21 81 in 14 g EXTREME
130 SB 130 19 21 111 in 14 g EXTREME
50 2B 50 33 36 17 in 14 g EXTREME
60 2B 60 33 36 27 in 14 g EXTREME
67 2B 67 33 36 34 in 14 g EXTREME
20 3B 20 0 0 20 in 14 g EXTREME
25 3B 25 0 0 25 in 14 g EXTREME
36 3B 36 0 0 36 in 14 g EXTREME
125 RBI 125 100 109 25 in 14 g EXTREME
150 RBI 150 100 109 50 in 14 g EXTREME
175 RBI 175 100 109 75 in 14 g EXTREME
191 RBI 191 100 109 91 in 14 g EXTREME

How likely is the finish?

0%finishes with 40+ home runs
0%finishes with 50+ home runs
0%finishes with 60+ home runs

His rate of 45.530 home runs per 1,000 plate appearances is read as 42.680 after regressing toward the league's 30.170 — a leaderboard selects for players who have outperformed, so an unregressed rate projected forward overstates every one of them. That puts the expected finish at 30.1, against a straight team-game pace of 31. Exact beta-binomial over 58 remaining plate appearances, averaged across playing-time scenarios. Calibrated against Retrosheet finishes: within 7 points of observed frequency in every band, and within 2 in three of five. It is a model, not a measurement.

Home run pace vs the benchmark seasons

36730162 gJudge 62Bonds 7328
Cumulative home runs by team game against straight 62 (Judge 2022) and 73 (Bonds 2001) paces. The homepage checkpoint card uses the exact game-by-game Retrosheet curves; these reference lines are straight-line paces.
0.0%of comparable chases reached 40 HR
0.0%of comparable chases reached 50 HR
0.0%of comparable chases reached 60 HR

Empirical: seasons within ±2 HR of his total at the same team-game checkpoint (n=967); median finish 29. Retrosheet.

Recent game log

Derived nightly from the snapshot ledger — each row is the difference between consecutive days; multi-day rows are labeled.

DateOppResultABHHRRBIRSBBBKAVG
2026-09-11 Chicago White Sox W 7-3 42 0 02 00 0 .283
2026-09-09 San Francisco Giants L 6-7 10 0 00 00 0 .281
2026-09-08 San Francisco Giants L 1-2 40 0 00 00 0 .282
2026-09-07 San Francisco Giants L 4-5 31 0 00 01 1 .284
2026-09-06 Colorado Rockies W 10-8 50 0 01 01 3 .284
2026-09-05 Colorado Rockies L 7-10 50 0 00 00 3 .286
2026-09-04 Colorado Rockies W 7-6 41 0 10 10 1 .289
2026-09-03 Los Angeles Dodgers L 2-3 11 0 00 00 0 .289
2026-09-02 Los Angeles Dodgers W 8-6 31 0 00 00 2 .288
2026-09-01 Los Angeles Dodgers W 13-8 51 0 01 00 3 .288

Recent highlights

Lahman + Retrosheet context

How this season fits history

Historical twinJavier Baez · 2018

87% season-shape match

HR checkpoint-36 vs Barry Bonds

Through 148 team games; 64 in 2001

Chase history

.275.304.33304-0409-11
Batting average, day by day
30568104-0409-11
Projected HR, day by day