91% season-shape match
Why he matters right now
Jordan Walker is top-10 in the majors in RBI, hits and doubles (and 1 other board)
He is 3rd in RBI at 100, 5th in hits at 156, 6th in doubles at 32 — placements on MLB's own season boards, which rank every QUALIFIED hitter in the sport rather than the few dozen this site tracks. Qualified is MLB's own bar, and it is the reason a part-season player with a big number is not on these boards at all.
The case in 30 seconds
- 100 3rd in RBI at 100, 5th in hits at 156, 6th in doubles at 32 on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
- 100 100 RBI, past his previous best of 51 in 2023; 28 home runs, past his previous best of 16 in 2023; 89 runs, past his previous best of 51 in 2023; 156 hits, past his previous best of 116 in 2023 year-by-year record, 2 prior seasons since 2023 (MLB Stats API, cached)
- From nowhere: Jordan Walker is now 5th of 10 on MLB's hits board — he wasn't on it a month ago, when it ran 10 deep. nightly anomaly scan, player id matched
The honest caveat
It is still a partial season — 596 plate appearances so far. A rate moves fastest against the strongest arms a schedule has left, and the schedule ahead is not the schedule behind.
What to watch next
Next up: at Colorado Rockies.
Every claim above, with its source (3)
- 3rd in RBI at 100, 5th in hits at 156, 6th in doubles at 32 on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
- 100 RBI, past his previous best of 51 in 2023; 28 home runs, past his previous best of 16 in 2023; 89 runs, past his previous best of 51 in 2023; 156 hits, past his previous best of 116 in 2023 year-by-year record, 2 prior seasons since 2023 (MLB Stats API, cached)
- From nowhere: Jordan Walker is now 5th of 10 on MLB's hits board — he wasn't on it a month ago, when it ran 10 deep. nightly anomaly scan, player id matched
Other cases this page considered and did not lead with: Jordan Walker has already passed his career best in RBI; Jordan Walker is climbing fast.
The evidence
Tracked on Live Chases
- 51-1 RBI Notable · WATCH No. 3 of 3rbi chases 100 record 191 — Hack Wilson, 1930 113projected, against 125 · extreme
The score is an editorial score, not a measurement on a common scale. The rank above is this player's position on his own category's board — the ordering the site stands behind. See all tracked chases →
What changed last night
0-for-5
L 7-10 vs Colorado Rockies · 2026-09-05
carries a .286 average into today
What to watch next
at Colorado Rockies
Coors Field · 3:10 p.m. ET
Facing Tanner Gordon
Jordan Walker faces a right-hander in Tanner Gordon. He is hitting .284 with 19 home runs in 402 at-bats against right-handers this season.
Situational splits
| Split | AB | AVG | HR | RBI | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP | 402 | .284 | 19 | 78 | .812 |
| vs LHP | 143 | .294 | 9 | 22 | .915 |
| Home | 266 | .282 | 10 | 31 | .781 |
| Away | 279 | .290 | 18 | 69 | .896 |
| Day | 213 | .263 | 14 | 45 | .843 |
| Night | 332 | .301 | 14 | 55 | .838 |
2026 season, MLB Stats API. A split with no plate appearances is omitted rather than shown as zeroes.
139G
545AB
156H
.286AVG
28HR
100RBI
19SB
322B
03B
.840OPS
Chasing .400
.286Current AVG
104Consecutive hits needed to reach .400
102-for-100Needed over next 100 AB
1.264Rest-of-season AVG to finish .400 (91-for-72)
Status: IMPOSSIBLE
Milestone tracker
| Chase | Target | Current | Pace | Needed from here | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| .350 AVG | .350 | .286 | .286 | .833 ROS | EXTREME |
| .380 AVG | .380 | .286 | .286 | 1.097 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .400 AVG | .400 | .286 | .286 | 1.264 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .406 AVG | .406 | .286 | .286 | 1.319 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .466 AVG | .466 | .286 | .286 | 1.833 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 50 HR | 50 | 28 | 32 | 22 in 19 g · 1 per 3.3 AB | EXTREME |
| 60 HR | 60 | 28 | 32 | 32 in 19 g · 1 per 2.3 AB | EXTREME |
| 62 HR | 62 | 28 | 32 | 34 in 19 g · 1 per 2.1 AB | EXTREME |
| 70 HR | 70 | 28 | 32 | 42 in 19 g · 1 per 1.7 AB | EXTREME |
| 73 HR | 73 | 28 | 32 | 45 in 19 g · 1 per 1.6 AB | EXTREME |
| 200 Hits | 200 | 156 | 177 | 44 in 19 g | EXTREME |
| 225 Hits | 225 | 156 | 177 | 69 in 19 g | EXTREME |
| 250 Hits | 250 | 156 | 177 | 94 in 19 g | EXTREME |
| 262 Hits | 262 | 156 | 177 | 106 in 19 g | EXTREME |
| 50 SB | 50 | 19 | 22 | 31 in 19 g | EXTREME |
| 80 SB | 80 | 19 | 22 | 61 in 19 g | EXTREME |
| 100 SB | 100 | 19 | 22 | 81 in 19 g | EXTREME |
| 130 SB | 130 | 19 | 22 | 111 in 19 g | EXTREME |
| 50 2B | 50 | 32 | 36 | 18 in 19 g | EXTREME |
| 60 2B | 60 | 32 | 36 | 28 in 19 g | EXTREME |
| 67 2B | 67 | 32 | 36 | 35 in 19 g | EXTREME |
| 20 3B | 20 | 0 | 0 | 20 in 19 g | EXTREME |
| 25 3B | 25 | 0 | 0 | 25 in 19 g | EXTREME |
| 36 3B | 36 | 0 | 0 | 36 in 19 g | EXTREME |
| 125 RBI | 125 | 100 | 113 | 25 in 19 g | EXTREME |
| 150 RBI | 150 | 100 | 113 | 50 in 19 g | EXTREME |
| 175 RBI | 175 | 100 | 113 | 75 in 19 g | EXTREME |
| 191 RBI | 191 | 100 | 113 | 91 in 19 g | EXTREME |
How likely is the finish?
0%finishes with 40+ home runs
0%finishes with 50+ home runs
0%finishes with 60+ home runs
His rate of 46.980 home runs per 1,000 plate appearances is read as 43.780 after regressing toward the league's 30.150 — a leaderboard selects for players who have outperformed, so an unregressed rate projected forward overstates every one of them. That puts the expected finish at 30.9, against a straight team-game pace of 32. Exact beta-binomial over 79 remaining plate appearances, averaged across playing-time scenarios. Calibrated against Retrosheet finishes: within 7 points of observed frequency in every band, and within 2 in three of five. It is a model, not a measurement.
Home run pace vs the benchmark seasons
0.1%of comparable chases reached 40 HR
0.0%of comparable chases reached 50 HR
0.0%of comparable chases reached 60 HR
Empirical: seasons within ±2 HR of his total at the same team-game checkpoint (n=923); median finish 30. Retrosheet.
Recent game log
Derived nightly from the snapshot ledger — each row is the difference between consecutive days; multi-day rows are labeled.
| Date | Opp | Result | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | SB | BB | K | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Colorado Rockies | L 7-10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .286 |
| 2026-09-04 | Colorado Rockies | W 7-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .289 |
| 2026-09-03 | Los Angeles Dodgers | L 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .289 |
| 2026-09-02 | Los Angeles Dodgers | W 8-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .288 |
| 2026-09-01 | Los Angeles Dodgers | W 13-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .288 |
| 2026-08-31 | — | — | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .288 |
| 2026-08-30 | Pittsburgh Pirates | L 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .285 |
| 2026-08-29 | Pittsburgh Pirates | L 2-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .288 |
| 2026-08-28 | Pittsburgh Pirates | W 4-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .290 |
| 2026-08-27 | Baltimore Orioles | W 7-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .286 |
Recent highlights
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Jordan Walker's three-run home run (26)2026-08-20 · Jordan Walker drove in 4 runs
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Jordan Walker's two-run home run (24)2026-08-16 · Jordan Walker drove in 4 runs
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Jordan Walker's four hits propel Cardinals to win2026-05-01 · Jordan Walker — a bench bat with 31 games played — went a perfect 4-for-4
Lahman + Retrosheet context
How this season fits history
Through 143 team games; 60 in 2001