87% season-shape match
Jordan Walker
Why he matters right now
Jordan Walker is top-10 in the majors in RBI, doubles and total bases (and 1 other board)
He is 3rd in RBI at 100, 5th in doubles at 33, 7th in total bases at 276 — placements on MLB's own season boards, which rank every QUALIFIED hitter in the sport rather than the few dozen this site tracks. Qualified is MLB's own bar, and it is the reason a part-season player with a big number is not on these boards at all.
This has been his headline for 3 straight days.
The case in 30 seconds
- 100 3rd in RBI at 100, 5th in doubles at 33, 7th in total bases at 276 on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
- 100 100 RBI, past his previous best of 51 in 2023; 92 runs, past his previous best of 51 in 2023; 28 home runs, past his previous best of 16 in 2023; 159 hits, past his previous best of 116 in 2023 year-by-year record, 2 prior seasons since 2023 (MLB Stats API, cached)
The honest caveat
It is still a partial season — 615 plate appearances so far. A rate moves fastest against the strongest arms a schedule has left, and the schedule ahead is not the schedule behind.
What to watch next
Next up: vs Chicago White Sox.
Every claim above, with its source (2)
- 3rd in RBI at 100, 5th in doubles at 33, 7th in total bases at 276 on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
- 100 RBI, past his previous best of 51 in 2023; 92 runs, past his previous best of 51 in 2023; 28 home runs, past his previous best of 16 in 2023; 159 hits, past his previous best of 116 in 2023 year-by-year record, 2 prior seasons since 2023 (MLB Stats API, cached)
Other cases this page considered and did not lead with: Jordan Walker has already passed his career best in RBI.
The evidence
Tracked on Live Chases
- 49 RBI Notable · WATCH No. 3 of 3rbi chases 100 record 191 — Hack Wilson, 1930 109projected, against 125 · extreme
The score is an editorial score, not a measurement on a common scale. The rank above is this player's position on his own category's board — the ordering the site stands behind. See all tracked chases →
What changed last night
What to watch next
Jordan Walker faces a left-hander in Sean Newcomb. He is hitting .297 with 9 home runs in 145 at-bats against left-handers this season.
Situational splits
| Split | AB | AVG | HR | RBI | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP | 417 | .278 | 19 | 78 | .799 |
| vs LHP | 145 | .297 | 9 | 22 | .916 |
| Home | 270 | .285 | 10 | 31 | .787 |
| Away | 292 | .281 | 18 | 69 | .868 |
| Day | 218 | .257 | 14 | 45 | .827 |
| Night | 344 | .299 | 14 | 55 | .831 |
2026 season, MLB Stats API. A split with no plate appearances is omitted rather than shown as zeroes.
Chasing .400
Status: IMPOSSIBLE
Milestone tracker
| Chase | Target | Current | Pace | Needed from here | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| .350 AVG | .350 | .283 | .283 | 1.075 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .380 AVG | .380 | .283 | .283 | 1.415 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .400 AVG | .400 | .283 | .283 | 1.642 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .406 AVG | .406 | .283 | .283 | 1.717 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .466 AVG | .466 | .283 | .283 | 2.415 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 50 HR | 50 | 28 | 31 | 22 in 14 g · 1 per 2.4 AB | EXTREME |
| 60 HR | 60 | 28 | 31 | 32 in 14 g · 1 per 1.7 AB | EXTREME |
| 62 HR | 62 | 28 | 31 | 34 in 14 g · 1 per 1.6 AB | EXTREME |
| 70 HR | 70 | 28 | 31 | 42 in 14 g · 1 per 1.3 AB | EXTREME |
| 73 HR | 73 | 28 | 31 | 45 in 14 g · 1 per 1.2 AB | EXTREME |
| 200 Hits | 200 | 159 | 174 | 41 in 14 g | EXTREME |
| 225 Hits | 225 | 159 | 174 | 66 in 14 g | EXTREME |
| 250 Hits | 250 | 159 | 174 | 91 in 14 g | EXTREME |
| 262 Hits | 262 | 159 | 174 | 103 in 14 g | EXTREME |
| 50 SB | 50 | 19 | 21 | 31 in 14 g | EXTREME |
| 80 SB | 80 | 19 | 21 | 61 in 14 g | EXTREME |
| 100 SB | 100 | 19 | 21 | 81 in 14 g | EXTREME |
| 130 SB | 130 | 19 | 21 | 111 in 14 g | EXTREME |
| 50 2B | 50 | 33 | 36 | 17 in 14 g | EXTREME |
| 60 2B | 60 | 33 | 36 | 27 in 14 g | EXTREME |
| 67 2B | 67 | 33 | 36 | 34 in 14 g | EXTREME |
| 20 3B | 20 | 0 | 0 | 20 in 14 g | EXTREME |
| 25 3B | 25 | 0 | 0 | 25 in 14 g | EXTREME |
| 36 3B | 36 | 0 | 0 | 36 in 14 g | EXTREME |
| 125 RBI | 125 | 100 | 109 | 25 in 14 g | EXTREME |
| 150 RBI | 150 | 100 | 109 | 50 in 14 g | EXTREME |
| 175 RBI | 175 | 100 | 109 | 75 in 14 g | EXTREME |
| 191 RBI | 191 | 100 | 109 | 91 in 14 g | EXTREME |
How likely is the finish?
His rate of 45.530 home runs per 1,000 plate appearances is read as 42.680 after regressing toward the league's 30.170 — a leaderboard selects for players who have outperformed, so an unregressed rate projected forward overstates every one of them. That puts the expected finish at 30.1, against a straight team-game pace of 31. Exact beta-binomial over 58 remaining plate appearances, averaged across playing-time scenarios. Calibrated against Retrosheet finishes: within 7 points of observed frequency in every band, and within 2 in three of five. It is a model, not a measurement.
Home run pace vs the benchmark seasons
Empirical: seasons within ±2 HR of his total at the same team-game checkpoint (n=967); median finish 29. Retrosheet.
Recent game log
Derived nightly from the snapshot ledger — each row is the difference between consecutive days; multi-day rows are labeled.
| Date | Opp | Result | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | SB | BB | K | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Chicago White Sox | W 7-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .283 |
| 2026-09-09 | San Francisco Giants | L 6-7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .281 |
| 2026-09-08 | San Francisco Giants | L 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .282 |
| 2026-09-07 | San Francisco Giants | L 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .284 |
| 2026-09-06 | Colorado Rockies | W 10-8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | .284 |
| 2026-09-05 | Colorado Rockies | L 7-10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .286 |
| 2026-09-04 | Colorado Rockies | W 7-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .289 |
| 2026-09-03 | Los Angeles Dodgers | L 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .289 |
| 2026-09-02 | Los Angeles Dodgers | W 8-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .288 |
| 2026-09-01 | Los Angeles Dodgers | W 13-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .288 |
Recent highlights
Lahman + Retrosheet context
How this season fits history
Through 148 team games; 64 in 2001