85% season-shape match
Why he matters right now
Junior Caminero is top-10 in the majors in total bases, home runs and RBI (and 1 other board)
He is 3rd in total bases at 323, 4th in home runs at 42, 8th in RBI at 101 — placements on MLB's own season boards, which rank every QUALIFIED hitter in the sport rather than the few dozen this site tracks. Qualified is MLB's own bar, and it is the reason a part-season player with a big number is not on these boards at all.
This has been his headline for 35 straight days.
The case in 30 seconds
- 323 3rd in total bases at 323, 4th in home runs at 42, 8th in RBI at 101 on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
- .276 .884 OPS, 42 home runs, 101 RBI and 3 stolen bases over 162 games snapshot batting board — the union of MLB's top-10 hitting boards, then MLB's 3.1 PA per team game rule applied; not the league's full qualified pool
The honest caveat
It is still a partial season — 702 plate appearances so far. A rate moves fastest against the strongest arms a schedule has left, and the schedule ahead is not the schedule behind.
Every claim above, with its source (2)
- 3rd in total bases at 323, 4th in home runs at 42, 8th in RBI at 101 on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
- .884 OPS, 42 home runs, 101 RBI and 3 stolen bases over 162 games snapshot batting board — the union of MLB's top-10 hitting boards, then MLB's 3.1 PA per team game rule applied; not the league's full qualified pool
The evidence
Tracked on Live Chases
- 60 Total Bases Significant · MILESTONE No. 3 of 3total bases chases 323 record 457 — Babe Ruth, 1921 323projected, against 350 · impossible
The score is an editorial score, not a measurement on a common scale. The rank above is this player's position on his own category's board — the ordering the site stands behind. See all tracked chases →
Situational splits
| Split | AB | AVG | HR | RBI | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP | 459 | .272 | 34 | 84 | .871 |
| vs LHP | 157 | .287 | 8 | 17 | .916 |
| Home | 298 | .282 | 22 | 54 | .934 |
| Away | 318 | .270 | 20 | 47 | .838 |
| Day | 239 | .259 | 16 | 35 | .843 |
| Night | 377 | .286 | 26 | 66 | .912 |
2026 season, MLB Stats API. A split with no plate appearances is omitted rather than shown as zeroes.
162G
616AB
170H
.276AVG
42HR
101RBI
3SB
252B
13B
.884OPS
Chasing .400
.276Current AVG
128Consecutive hits needed to reach .400
117-for-100Needed over next 100 AB
—Rest-of-season AVG to finish .400 (77-for-0)
Status: IMPOSSIBLE
Milestone tracker
| Chase | Target | Current | Pace | Needed from here | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| .350 AVG | .350 | .276 | .276 | — | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .380 AVG | .380 | .276 | .276 | — | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .400 AVG | .400 | .276 | .276 | — | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .406 AVG | .406 | .276 | .276 | — | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .466 AVG | .466 | .276 | .276 | — | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 50 HR | 50 | 42 | 42 | 8 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 60 HR | 60 | 42 | 42 | 18 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 62 HR | 62 | 42 | 42 | 20 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 70 HR | 70 | 42 | 42 | 28 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 73 HR | 73 | 42 | 42 | 31 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 200 Hits | 200 | 170 | 170 | 30 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 225 Hits | 225 | 170 | 170 | 55 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 250 Hits | 250 | 170 | 170 | 80 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 262 Hits | 262 | 170 | 170 | 92 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 50 SB | 50 | 3 | 3 | 47 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 80 SB | 80 | 3 | 3 | 77 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 100 SB | 100 | 3 | 3 | 97 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 130 SB | 130 | 3 | 3 | 127 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 50 2B | 50 | 25 | 25 | 25 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 60 2B | 60 | 25 | 25 | 35 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 67 2B | 67 | 25 | 25 | 42 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 20 3B | 20 | 1 | 1 | 19 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 25 3B | 25 | 1 | 1 | 24 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 36 3B | 36 | 1 | 1 | 35 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 125 RBI | 125 | 101 | 101 | 24 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 150 RBI | 150 | 101 | 101 | 49 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 175 RBI | 175 | 101 | 101 | 74 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 191 RBI | 191 | 101 | 101 | 90 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
How likely is the finish?
100%finishes with 40+ home runs
0%finishes with 50+ home runs
0%finishes with 60+ home runs
His rate of 59.830 home runs per 1,000 plate appearances is read as 54.900 after regressing toward the league's 30.200 — a leaderboard selects for players who have outperformed, so an unregressed rate projected forward overstates every one of them. That puts the expected finish at 42.0, against a straight team-game pace of 42. Exact beta-binomial over 0 remaining plate appearances, averaged across playing-time scenarios. Calibrated against Retrosheet finishes: within 7 points of observed frequency in every band, and within 2 in three of five. It is a model, not a measurement.
Home run pace vs the benchmark seasons
100.0%of comparable chases reached 40 HR
0.0%of comparable chases reached 50 HR
0.0%of comparable chases reached 60 HR
Empirical: seasons within ±2 HR of his total at the same team-game checkpoint (n=195); median finish 42. Retrosheet.
Recent game log
Derived nightly from the snapshot ledger — each row is the difference between consecutive days; multi-day rows are labeled.
| Date | Opp | Result | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | SB | BB | K | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 (6d) | — | — | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .276 |
| 2026-09-25 | Philadelphia Phillies | W 2-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .275 |
| 2026-09-24 | New York Yankees | L 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .275 |
| 2026-09-23 | New York Yankees | L 2-9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .274 |
| 2026-09-22 | New York Yankees | L 0-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .275 |
| 2026-09-20 | Boston Red Sox | W 5-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .277 |
| 2026-09-19 | Boston Red Sox | W 2-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .277 |
| 2026-09-18 | Boston Red Sox | L 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | .277 |
| 2026-09-17 | Athletics | W 10-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | .277 |
| 2026-09-16 | Athletics | W 4-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .279 |
Recent highlights
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Junior Caminero's walk-off home run! (41)2026-09-15 · Junior Caminero's walk-off home run in the 9th beat the Athletics 2-1
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Rays clinch on Junior Caminero's walk-off home run!2026-09-11 · Junior Caminero's walk-off home run in the 9th beat the Astros 3-1
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Junior Caminero hits three home runs in Rays' win2026-06-25 · Junior Caminero hit 3 home runs
Lahman + Retrosheet context
How this season fits history
Through 162 team games; 73 in 2001