89% season-shape match
Why he matters right now
Junior Caminero is top-10 in the majors in home runs, total bases and RBI
He is 3rd in home runs at 38, 3rd in total bases at 290, 8th in RBI at 91 — placements on MLB's own season boards, which rank every QUALIFIED hitter in the sport rather than the few dozen this site tracks. Qualified is MLB's own bar, and it is the reason a part-season player with a big number is not on these boards at all.
This has been his headline for 16 straight days.
The case in 30 seconds
- 38 3rd in home runs at 38, 3rd in total bases at 290, 8th in RBI at 91 on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
- .281 .897 OPS, 38 home runs, 91 RBI and 3 stolen bases over 142 games snapshot batting board — the union of MLB's top-10 hitting boards, then MLB's 3.1 PA per team game rule applied; not the league's full qualified pool
The honest caveat
It is still a partial season — 620 plate appearances so far. A rate moves fastest against the strongest arms a schedule has left, and the schedule ahead is not the schedule behind.
What to watch next
Next up: at Texas Rangers. 60 more to reach 350 TB.
Every claim above, with its source (2)
- 3rd in home runs at 38, 3rd in total bases at 290, 8th in RBI at 91 on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
- .897 OPS, 38 home runs, 91 RBI and 3 stolen bases over 142 games snapshot batting board — the union of MLB's top-10 hitting boards, then MLB's 3.1 PA per team game rule applied; not the league's full qualified pool
The evidence
Tracked on Live Chases
- 62+1 Total Bases Significant · MILESTONE No. 3 of 3total bases chases 290 record 457 — Babe Ruth, 1921 331projected, against 350 · near pace
- 60 Home Runs Significant · MILESTONE No. 3 of 3home runs chases 38 record 73 — Barry Bonds, 2001 43projected, against 50 · extreme
The score is an editorial score, not a measurement on a common scale. The rank above is this player's position on his own category's board — the ordering the site stands behind. See all tracked chases →
What changed last night
1 HR, 1 RBI
W 6-3 vs Texas Rangers · 2026-09-05
carries a .281 average into today
What to watch next
at Texas Rangers
Globe Life Field · 2:35 p.m. ET
Facing MacKenzie Gore
Junior Caminero faces a left-hander in MacKenzie Gore. He is hitting .296 with 8 home runs in 135 at-bats against left-handers this season.
Situational splits
| Split | AB | AVG | HR | RBI | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP | 410 | .276 | 30 | 75 | .880 |
| vs LHP | 135 | .296 | 8 | 16 | .943 |
| Home | 264 | .288 | 20 | 50 | .949 |
| Away | 281 | .274 | 18 | 41 | .846 |
| Day | 214 | .276 | 16 | 34 | .892 |
| Night | 331 | .284 | 22 | 57 | .900 |
2026 season, MLB Stats API. A split with no plate appearances is omitted rather than shown as zeroes.
142G
545AB
153H
.281AVG
38HR
91RBI
3SB
212B
13B
.897OPS
Chasing .400
.281Current AVG
109Consecutive hits needed to reach .400
105-for-100Needed over next 100 AB
1.247Rest-of-season AVG to finish .400 (96-for-77)
Status: IMPOSSIBLE
Milestone tracker
| Chase | Target | Current | Pace | Needed from here | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| .350 AVG | .350 | .281 | .281 | .844 ROS | EXTREME |
| .380 AVG | .380 | .281 | .281 | 1.091 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .400 AVG | .400 | .281 | .281 | 1.247 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .406 AVG | .406 | .281 | .281 | 1.299 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .466 AVG | .466 | .281 | .281 | 1.779 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 50 HR | 50 | 38 | 43 | 12 in 20 g · 1 per 6.4 AB | EXTREME |
| 60 HR | 60 | 38 | 43 | 22 in 20 g · 1 per 3.5 AB | EXTREME |
| 62 HR | 62 | 38 | 43 | 24 in 20 g · 1 per 3.2 AB | EXTREME |
| 70 HR | 70 | 38 | 43 | 32 in 20 g · 1 per 2.4 AB | EXTREME |
| 73 HR | 73 | 38 | 43 | 35 in 20 g · 1 per 2.2 AB | EXTREME |
| 200 Hits | 200 | 153 | 175 | 47 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 225 Hits | 225 | 153 | 175 | 72 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 250 Hits | 250 | 153 | 175 | 97 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 262 Hits | 262 | 153 | 175 | 109 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 50 SB | 50 | 3 | 3 | 47 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 80 SB | 80 | 3 | 3 | 77 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 100 SB | 100 | 3 | 3 | 97 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 130 SB | 130 | 3 | 3 | 127 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 50 2B | 50 | 21 | 24 | 29 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 60 2B | 60 | 21 | 24 | 39 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 67 2B | 67 | 21 | 24 | 46 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 20 3B | 20 | 1 | 1 | 19 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 25 3B | 25 | 1 | 1 | 24 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 36 3B | 36 | 1 | 1 | 35 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 125 RBI | 125 | 91 | 104 | 34 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 150 RBI | 150 | 91 | 104 | 59 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 175 RBI | 175 | 91 | 104 | 84 in 20 g | EXTREME |
| 191 RBI | 191 | 91 | 104 | 100 in 20 g | EXTREME |
How likely is the finish?
78%finishes with 40+ home runs
0%finishes with 50+ home runs
0%finishes with 60+ home runs
His rate of 61.290 home runs per 1,000 plate appearances is read as 55.550 after regressing toward the league's 30.150 — a leaderboard selects for players who have outperformed, so an unregressed rate projected forward overstates every one of them. That puts the expected finish at 42.0, against a straight team-game pace of 43. Exact beta-binomial over 87 remaining plate appearances, averaged across playing-time scenarios. Calibrated against Retrosheet finishes: within 7 points of observed frequency in every band, and within 2 in three of five. It is a model, not a measurement.
Home run pace vs the benchmark seasons
73.6%of comparable chases reached 40 HR
0.4%of comparable chases reached 50 HR
0.0%of comparable chases reached 60 HR
Empirical: seasons within ±2 HR of his total at the same team-game checkpoint (n=250); median finish 41. Retrosheet.
Recent game log
Derived nightly from the snapshot ledger — each row is the difference between consecutive days; multi-day rows are labeled.
| Date | Opp | Result | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | SB | BB | K | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Texas Rangers | W 6-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .281 |
| 2026-09-04 | Texas Rangers | W 7-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .280 |
| 2026-09-02 | New York Mets | L 4-10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .279 |
| 2026-09-01 | New York Mets | W 6-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .281 |
| 2026-08-31 | New York Mets | L 2-3 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .283 |
| 2026-08-30 | San Diego Padres | W 5-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .282 |
| 2026-08-29 | San Diego Padres | W 7-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .280 |
| 2026-08-28 | San Diego Padres | W 9-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .280 |
| 2026-08-26 | Detroit Tigers | W 3-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .280 |
| 2026-08-25 | Detroit Tigers | L 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .278 |
Recent highlights
Lahman + Retrosheet context
How this season fits history
Through 142 team games; 60 in 2001