45 HR, and 40 SB
Why he matters right now
Pete Crow-Armstrong co-leads the majors in home runs, runs and total bases
Through 162 games he is tied for first in home runs, runs and total bases — the kind of line that decides awards.
This has been his headline for 60 straight days.
The case in 30 seconds
- 45 No. 1, shared, in home runs, runs and total bases on MLB's own leaderboards — 45 home runs (tied with 1 other), 119 runs, 357 total bases MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
- OPS .942 — 2nd of 49 qualified hitters on this site's tracked board snapshot batting board — the union of MLB's top-10 hitting boards, then MLB's 3.1 PA per team game rule applied; not the league's full qualified pool
- 45 45 home runs, past his previous best of 31 in 2025; 119 runs, past his previous best of 91 in 2025; 175 hits, past his previous best of 146 in 2025; 41 stolen bases, past his previous best of 35 in 2025; 107 RBI, past his previous best of 95 in 2025 year-by-year record, 2 prior seasons since 2024 (MLB Stats API, cached)
The honest caveat
It is still a partial season — 726 plate appearances so far. A rate moves fastest against the strongest arms a schedule has left, and the schedule ahead is not the schedule behind.
Every claim above, with its source (6)
- No. 1, shared, in home runs, runs and total bases on MLB's own leaderboards — 45 home runs (tied with 1 other), 119 runs, 357 total bases MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
- No. 1 in home runs on MLB's leaderboard, tied with 1 other MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
- No. 1 in runs on MLB's leaderboard MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
- No. 1 in total bases on MLB's leaderboard MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
- OPS .942 — 2nd of 49 qualified hitters on this site's tracked board snapshot batting board — the union of MLB's top-10 hitting boards, then MLB's 3.1 PA per team game rule applied; not the league's full qualified pool
- 45 home runs, past his previous best of 31 in 2025; 119 runs, past his previous best of 91 in 2025; 175 hits, past his previous best of 146 in 2025; 41 stolen bases, past his previous best of 35 in 2025; 107 RBI, past his previous best of 95 in 2025 year-by-year record, 2 prior seasons since 2024 (MLB Stats API, cached)
Other cases this page considered and did not lead with: Pete Crow-Armstrong sits 2nd in OPS among 49 qualified hitters on this site's tracked board; Pete Crow-Armstrong has already passed his career best in home runs.
The evidence
Tracked on Live Chases
- 83 40/40 Club Historic · NEAR HISTORIC only one tracked 45/41 record 54/59 — Shohei Ohtani, 2024 45/41projected, against 30/30 · achieved
- 68 Total Bases Significant · MILESTONE No. 1 of 3total bases chases 357 record 457 — Babe Ruth, 1921 357projected, against 350 · impossible
- 64 Home Runs Significant · MILESTONE No. 2 of 3home runs chases 45 record 73 — Barry Bonds, 2001 45projected, against 50 · impossible
- 61 Runs Significant · MILESTONE No. 1 of 3runs chases 119 record 177 — Babe Ruth, 1921 119projected, against 120 · impossible
The score is an editorial score, not a measurement on a common scale. The rank above is this player's position on his own category's board — the ordering the site stands behind. See all tracked chases →
Situational splits
| Split | AB | AVG | HR | RBI | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP | 426 | .279 | 34 | 73 | .973 |
| vs LHP | 200 | .280 | 11 | 34 | .879 |
| Home | 305 | .308 | 27 | 60 | 1.045 |
| Away | 321 | .252 | 18 | 47 | .846 |
| Day | 262 | .267 | 16 | 42 | .868 |
| Night | 364 | .288 | 29 | 65 | .996 |
2026 season, MLB Stats API. A split with no plate appearances is omitted rather than shown as zeroes.
162G
626AB
175H
.280AVG
45HR
107RBI
41SB
312B
83B
.942OPS
Chasing .400
.280Current AVG
126Consecutive hits needed to reach .400
116-for-100Needed over next 100 AB
—Rest-of-season AVG to finish .400 (76-for-0)
Status: IMPOSSIBLE
Milestone tracker
| Chase | Target | Current | Pace | Needed from here | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| .350 AVG | .350 | .280 | .280 | — | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .380 AVG | .380 | .280 | .280 | — | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .400 AVG | .400 | .280 | .280 | — | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .406 AVG | .406 | .280 | .280 | — | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .466 AVG | .466 | .280 | .280 | — | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 50 HR | 50 | 45 | 45 | 5 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 60 HR | 60 | 45 | 45 | 15 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 62 HR | 62 | 45 | 45 | 17 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 70 HR | 70 | 45 | 45 | 25 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 73 HR | 73 | 45 | 45 | 28 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 200 Hits | 200 | 175 | 175 | 25 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 225 Hits | 225 | 175 | 175 | 50 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 250 Hits | 250 | 175 | 175 | 75 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 262 Hits | 262 | 175 | 175 | 87 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 50 SB | 50 | 41 | 41 | 9 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 80 SB | 80 | 41 | 41 | 39 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 100 SB | 100 | 41 | 41 | 59 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 130 SB | 130 | 41 | 41 | 89 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 50 2B | 50 | 31 | 31 | 19 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 60 2B | 60 | 31 | 31 | 29 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 67 2B | 67 | 31 | 31 | 36 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 20 3B | 20 | 8 | 8 | 12 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 25 3B | 25 | 8 | 8 | 17 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 36 3B | 36 | 8 | 8 | 28 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 125 RBI | 125 | 107 | 107 | 18 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 150 RBI | 150 | 107 | 107 | 43 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 175 RBI | 175 | 107 | 107 | 68 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 191 RBI | 191 | 107 | 107 | 84 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
How likely is the finish?
100%finishes with 40+ home runs
0%finishes with 50+ home runs
0%finishes with 60+ home runs
His rate of 61.980 home runs per 1,000 plate appearances is read as 56.850 after regressing toward the league's 30.200 — a leaderboard selects for players who have outperformed, so an unregressed rate projected forward overstates every one of them. That puts the expected finish at 45.0, against a straight team-game pace of 45. Exact beta-binomial over 0 remaining plate appearances, averaged across playing-time scenarios. Calibrated against Retrosheet finishes: within 7 points of observed frequency in every band, and within 2 in three of five. It is a model, not a measurement.
Home run pace vs the benchmark seasons
100.0%of comparable chases reached 40 HR
0.0%of comparable chases reached 50 HR
0.0%of comparable chases reached 60 HR
Empirical: seasons within ±2 HR of his total at the same team-game checkpoint (n=134); median finish 45. Retrosheet.
Recent game log
Derived nightly from the snapshot ledger — each row is the difference between consecutive days; multi-day rows are labeled.
| Date | Opp | Result | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | SB | BB | K | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 (6d) | — | — | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .280 |
| 2026-09-25 | Boston Red Sox | L 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | .278 |
| 2026-09-24 | Miami Marlins | W 2-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .280 |
| 2026-09-23 | Miami Marlins | L 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .280 |
| 2026-09-22 | Miami Marlins | L 2-8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .282 |
| 2026-09-20 | Cincinnati Reds | W 9-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .280 |
| 2026-09-19 | Cincinnati Reds | W 5-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .277 |
| 2026-09-18 | Cincinnati Reds | L 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .280 |
| 2026-09-16 | Atlanta Braves | W 8-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .282 |
| 2026-09-15 | Atlanta Braves | L 3-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .279 |
Recent highlights
Lahman + Retrosheet context
How this season fits history
83% season-shape match
Through 162 team games; 73 in 2001