n=204 near this checkpoint
Why he matters right now
Chase Burns is top-10 in the majors in wins and ERA
He is 3rd in wins at 15, 8th in ERA at 2.73 — placements on MLB's own season boards, which rank every QUALIFIED pitcher in the sport rather than the few dozen this site tracks. Qualified is MLB's own bar, and it is the reason a part-season player with a big number is not on these boards at all.
This has been his headline for 34 straight days.
The case in 30 seconds
- 15 3rd in wins at 15, 8th in ERA at 2.73 on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
- 2.73 ERA over 148 innings, with 176 strikeouts, 27 starts and a 1.14 WHIP snapshot pitching board — the union of MLB's top-10 pitching boards, then MLB's 1.0 IP per team game rule applied; not the league's full qualified pool
The honest caveat
The open question is workload. He is at 148 innings over 27 starts; the same rate to the end of the season means roughly 163. Velocity and innings both have to hold, and neither is guaranteed — this page reports what the measurements say, not what a medical staff knows.
What to watch next
Next up: at Milwaukee Brewers. 24 more to reach 200 SO.
Every claim above, with its source (2)
- 3rd in wins at 15, 8th in ERA at 2.73 on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
- ERA over 148 innings, with 176 strikeouts, 27 starts and a 1.14 WHIP snapshot pitching board — the union of MLB's top-10 pitching boards, then MLB's 1.0 IP per team game rule applied; not the league's full qualified pool
The evidence
What to watch next
at Milwaukee Brewers
American Family Field · 7:10 p.m. ET
The opposing starter has not been announced.
Situational splits
| Split | IP | ERA | SO | WHIP | AVG against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP | 56.1 | — | 65 | 0.87 | .189 |
| vs LHP | 89.2 | — | 111 | 1.34 | .232 |
| Home | 73.1 | 2.09 | 78 | 1.10 | .195 |
| Away | 75.0 | 3.36 | 98 | 1.17 | .234 |
| Day | 59.0 | 1.83 | 63 | 0.98 | .198 |
| Night | 89.1 | 3.32 | 113 | 1.24 | .226 |
2026 season, MLB Stats API. A split with no plate appearances is omitted rather than shown as zeroes.
27G
27GS
148.1IP
15-3W-L
2.73ERA
1.14WHIP
176K
10.68K/9
0SV
Strikeout chase
| Chase | Current | Pace | Needed from here | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 200 K | 176 | 194 | 24 K · 8.6 per outing over 2.8 left | NEAR PACE |
| 250 K | 176 | 194 | 74 K · 26.4 per outing over 2.8 left | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 300 K | 176 | 194 | 124 K · 44.3 per outing over 2.8 left | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 350 K | 176 | 194 | 174 K · 62.1 per outing over 2.8 left | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 383 K | 176 | 194 | 207 K · 73.9 per outing over 2.8 left | IMPOSSIBLE |
ERA & WHIP finish lines
| Finish | Current | Required rest-of-season | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sub-2.00 ERA | 2.73 | -5.16 over about 15 innings | IMPOSSIBLE |
| Sub-1.75 ERA | 2.73 | -7.86 over about 15 innings | IMPOSSIBLE |
| Sub-1.50 ERA | 2.73 | -10.56 over about 15 innings | IMPOSSIBLE |
| Sub-1.00 WHIP | 1.14 | -0.36 | IMPOSSIBLE |
| Sub-0.90 WHIP | 1.14 | -1.45 | IMPOSSIBLE |
Recent game log
Derived nightly from the snapshot ledger — each row is the difference between consecutive days; multi-day rows are labeled.
| Date | Opp | Result | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Los Angeles Dodgers | L 3-6 | 3.0 | 5 |
| 2026-08-19 | St. Louis Cardinals | W 5-4 | 5.0 | 8 |
| 2026-08-14 | Miami Marlins | W 1-0 | 7.0 | 8 |
| 2026-08-08 | Washington Nationals | L 2-8 | 5.1 | 6 |
| 2026-08-02 | Pittsburgh Pirates | W 10-2 | 6.0 | 9 |
| 2026-07-28 | Cleveland Guardians | L 5-6 | 5.0 | 4 |
| 2026-07-21 | Seattle Mariners | W 4-2 | 5.0 | 6 |
| 2026-07-08 | Philadelphia Phillies | W 11-5 | 5.0 | 2 |
Recent highlights
Lahman + Retrosheet context
How this season fits history
Chase history
Stuff watch
Four-seamer velocity, start by start
Every start's average against his own trailing baseline of 97.7 ± 0.47 mph. Ringed dots sit more than one standard deviation under the baseline; last start 97.83 mph (2026-09-07).
No active signals — inside one standard deviation of his own baseline. A trend report, not a diagnosis.