88% season-shape match
Why he matters right now
Daylen Lile is top-10 in the majors in triples
He is 5th in triples at 8 — placements on MLB's own season boards, which rank every QUALIFIED hitter in the sport rather than the few dozen this site tracks. Qualified is MLB's own bar, and it is the reason a part-season player with a big number is not on these boards at all.
This has been his headline for 54 straight days.
The case in 30 seconds
- 8 5th in triples at 8 on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
- .246 .725 OPS, 22 home runs, 89 RBI and 15 stolen bases over 160 games snapshot batting board — the union of MLB's top-10 hitting boards, then MLB's 3.1 PA per team game rule applied; not the league's full qualified pool
The honest caveat
It is still a partial season — 655 plate appearances so far. A rate moves fastest against the strongest arms a schedule has left, and the schedule ahead is not the schedule behind.
Every claim above, with its source (2)
- 5th in triples at 8 on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
- .725 OPS, 22 home runs, 89 RBI and 15 stolen bases over 160 games snapshot batting board — the union of MLB's top-10 hitting boards, then MLB's 3.1 PA per team game rule applied; not the league's full qualified pool
The evidence
Situational splits
| Split | AB | AVG | HR | RBI | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP | 437 | .252 | 21 | 69 | .778 |
| vs LHP | 165 | .230 | 1 | 20 | .585 |
| Home | 289 | .260 | 13 | 53 | .791 |
| Away | 313 | .233 | 9 | 36 | .664 |
| Day | 260 | .208 | 1 | 17 | .554 |
| Night | 342 | .275 | 21 | 72 | .854 |
2026 season, MLB Stats API. A split with no plate appearances is omitted rather than shown as zeroes.
160G
602AB
148H
.246AVG
22HR
89RBI
15SB
282B
83B
.725OPS
Chasing .400
.246Current AVG
155Consecutive hits needed to reach .400
133-for-100Needed over next 100 AB
—Rest-of-season AVG to finish .400 (93-for-0)
Status: IMPOSSIBLE
Milestone tracker
| Chase | Target | Current | Pace | Needed from here | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| .350 AVG | .350 | .246 | .246 | — | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .380 AVG | .380 | .246 | .246 | — | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .400 AVG | .400 | .246 | .246 | — | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .406 AVG | .406 | .246 | .246 | — | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .466 AVG | .466 | .246 | .246 | — | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 50 HR | 50 | 22 | 22 | 28 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 60 HR | 60 | 22 | 22 | 38 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 62 HR | 62 | 22 | 22 | 40 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 70 HR | 70 | 22 | 22 | 48 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 73 HR | 73 | 22 | 22 | 51 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 200 Hits | 200 | 148 | 148 | 52 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 225 Hits | 225 | 148 | 148 | 77 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 250 Hits | 250 | 148 | 148 | 102 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 262 Hits | 262 | 148 | 148 | 114 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 50 SB | 50 | 15 | 15 | 35 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 80 SB | 80 | 15 | 15 | 65 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 100 SB | 100 | 15 | 15 | 85 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 130 SB | 130 | 15 | 15 | 115 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 50 2B | 50 | 28 | 28 | 22 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 60 2B | 60 | 28 | 28 | 32 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 67 2B | 67 | 28 | 28 | 39 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 20 3B | 20 | 8 | 8 | 12 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 25 3B | 25 | 8 | 8 | 17 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 36 3B | 36 | 8 | 8 | 28 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 125 RBI | 125 | 89 | 89 | 36 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 150 RBI | 150 | 89 | 89 | 61 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 175 RBI | 175 | 89 | 89 | 86 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 191 RBI | 191 | 89 | 89 | 102 in 0 g | IMPOSSIBLE |
How likely is the finish?
0%finishes with 40+ home runs
0%finishes with 50+ home runs
0%finishes with 60+ home runs
His rate of 33.590 home runs per 1,000 plate appearances is read as 32.990 after regressing toward the league's 30.200 — a leaderboard selects for players who have outperformed, so an unregressed rate projected forward overstates every one of them. That puts the expected finish at 22.0, against a straight team-game pace of 22. Exact beta-binomial over 0 remaining plate appearances, averaged across playing-time scenarios. Calibrated against Retrosheet finishes: within 7 points of observed frequency in every band, and within 2 in three of five. It is a model, not a measurement.
Home run pace vs the benchmark seasons
0.0%of comparable chases reached 40 HR
0.0%of comparable chases reached 50 HR
0.0%of comparable chases reached 60 HR
Empirical: seasons within ±2 HR of his total at the same team-game checkpoint (n=1788); median finish 22. Retrosheet.
Recent game log
Derived nightly from the snapshot ledger — each row is the difference between consecutive days; multi-day rows are labeled.
| Date | Opp | Result | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | SB | BB | K | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 (6d) | — | — | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .246 |
| 2026-09-25 | New York Mets | W 7-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .249 |
| 2026-09-23 | Detroit Tigers | W 4-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .247 |
| 2026-09-22 | Detroit Tigers | W 3-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .247 |
| 2026-09-21 | Detroit Tigers | L 2-9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .249 |
| 2026-09-20 | St. Louis Cardinals | L 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .251 |
| 2026-09-19 | St. Louis Cardinals | W 8-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .249 |
| 2026-09-18 | St. Louis Cardinals | W 9-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .250 |
| 2026-09-16 | Philadelphia Phillies | L 0-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .251 |
| 2026-09-15 | Philadelphia Phillies | W 6-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .250 |
Recent highlights
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Daylen Lile's go-ahead homer (21)2026-09-15 · Daylen Lile's tiebreaking home run in the 7th put the Nationals ahead for good in a 6-3 win over the Phillies
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Daylen Lile's go-ahead homer (20)2026-08-31 · Daylen Lile hit 2 home runs, driving in 4 — his first career multi-homer game.
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Daylen Lile's two-run homer (19)2026-08-31 · Daylen Lile's go-ahead home run in the 7th put the Nationals ahead for good in a 6-3 win over the Marlins
Lahman + Retrosheet context
How this season fits history
Through 162 team games; 73 in 2001