86% season-shape match
Why he matters right now
Sal Stewart leads the majors in RBI
Through 147 games he is first in RBI — the kind of line that decides awards.
This has been his headline for 23 straight days.
The case in 30 seconds
- 107 No. 1 in RBI on MLB's own leaderboards — 107 RBI MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
- on the 2026 rookie leaderboard (31 HR) snapshot rookie_leaders board
The honest caveat
Sal Stewart has 31 home runs and none in 13 games — the longest quiet stretch of his season. It does not undo the case above; it is the part of the record that argues the other way.
What to watch next
Next up: at Milwaukee Brewers. 18 more to reach 125 RBI.
Every claim above, with its source (4)
- No. 1 in RBI on MLB's own leaderboards — 107 RBI MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
- No. 1 in RBI on MLB's leaderboard MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
- on the 2026 rookie leaderboard (31 HR) snapshot rookie_leaders board
- Sal Stewart has 31 home runs and none in 13 games — the longest quiet stretch of his season. nightly anomaly scan (drought detector), player id matched
Other cases this page considered and did not lead with: Sal Stewart is doing this in his first big-league season; Sal Stewart has gone quiet.
The evidence
Tracked on Live Chases
- 55 Triple Crown (NL) Notable · WATCH only one tracked
- 54-1 RBI Notable · WATCH No. 1 of 3rbi chases 107 record 191 — Hack Wilson, 1930 118projected, against 125 · near pace
The score is an editorial score, not a measurement on a common scale. The rank above is this player's position on his own category's board — the ordering the site stands behind. See all tracked chases →
What changed last night
2-for-4
L 0-20 vs Milwaukee Brewers · 2026-09-11
carries a .268 average into today
What to watch next
at Milwaukee Brewers
American Family Field · 7:10 p.m. ET
The opposing starter has not been announced.
Situational splits
| Split | AB | AVG | HR | RBI | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP | 426 | .263 | 23 | 83 | .796 |
| vs LHP | 137 | .285 | 8 | 24 | .877 |
| Home | 276 | .261 | 14 | 50 | .818 |
| Away | 287 | .275 | 17 | 57 | .813 |
| Day | 221 | .244 | 14 | 42 | .809 |
| Night | 342 | .284 | 17 | 65 | .821 |
2026 season, MLB Stats API. A split with no plate appearances is omitted rather than shown as zeroes.
147G
563AB
151H
.268AVG
31HR
107RBI
15SB
252B
03B
.816OPS
Chasing .400
.268Current AVG
124Consecutive hits needed to reach .400
115-for-100Needed over next 100 AB
1.702Rest-of-season AVG to finish .400 (97-for-57)
Status: IMPOSSIBLE
Milestone tracker
| Chase | Target | Current | Pace | Needed from here | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| .350 AVG | .350 | .268 | .268 | 1.158 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .380 AVG | .380 | .268 | .268 | 1.491 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .400 AVG | .400 | .268 | .268 | 1.702 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .406 AVG | .406 | .268 | .268 | 1.772 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .466 AVG | .466 | .268 | .268 | 2.421 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 50 HR | 50 | 31 | 34 | 19 in 15 g · 1 per 3.0 AB | EXTREME |
| 60 HR | 60 | 31 | 34 | 29 in 15 g · 1 per 2.0 AB | EXTREME |
| 62 HR | 62 | 31 | 34 | 31 in 15 g · 1 per 1.9 AB | EXTREME |
| 70 HR | 70 | 31 | 34 | 39 in 15 g · 1 per 1.5 AB | EXTREME |
| 73 HR | 73 | 31 | 34 | 42 in 15 g · 1 per 1.4 AB | EXTREME |
| 200 Hits | 200 | 151 | 166 | 49 in 15 g | EXTREME |
| 225 Hits | 225 | 151 | 166 | 74 in 15 g | EXTREME |
| 250 Hits | 250 | 151 | 166 | 99 in 15 g | EXTREME |
| 262 Hits | 262 | 151 | 166 | 111 in 15 g | EXTREME |
| 50 SB | 50 | 15 | 17 | 35 in 15 g | EXTREME |
| 80 SB | 80 | 15 | 17 | 65 in 15 g | EXTREME |
| 100 SB | 100 | 15 | 17 | 85 in 15 g | EXTREME |
| 130 SB | 130 | 15 | 17 | 115 in 15 g | EXTREME |
| 50 2B | 50 | 25 | 28 | 25 in 15 g | EXTREME |
| 60 2B | 60 | 25 | 28 | 35 in 15 g | EXTREME |
| 67 2B | 67 | 25 | 28 | 42 in 15 g | EXTREME |
| 20 3B | 20 | 0 | 0 | 20 in 15 g | EXTREME |
| 25 3B | 25 | 0 | 0 | 25 in 15 g | EXTREME |
| 36 3B | 36 | 0 | 0 | 36 in 15 g | EXTREME |
| 125 RBI | 125 | 107 | 118 | 18 in 15 g | NEAR PACE |
| 150 RBI | 150 | 107 | 118 | 43 in 15 g | EXTREME |
| 175 RBI | 175 | 107 | 118 | 68 in 15 g | EXTREME |
| 191 RBI | 191 | 107 | 118 | 84 in 15 g | EXTREME |
How likely is the finish?
0%finishes with 40+ home runs
0%finishes with 50+ home runs
0%finishes with 60+ home runs
His rate of 48.740 home runs per 1,000 plate appearances is read as 45.390 after regressing toward the league's 30.170 — a leaderboard selects for players who have outperformed, so an unregressed rate projected forward overstates every one of them. That puts the expected finish at 33.4, against a straight team-game pace of 34. Exact beta-binomial over 65 remaining plate appearances, averaged across playing-time scenarios. Calibrated against Retrosheet finishes: within 7 points of observed frequency in every band, and within 2 in three of five. It is a model, not a measurement.
Home run pace vs the benchmark seasons
1.1%of comparable chases reached 40 HR
0.0%of comparable chases reached 50 HR
0.0%of comparable chases reached 60 HR
Empirical: seasons within ±2 HR of his total at the same team-game checkpoint (n=635); median finish 33. Retrosheet.
Recent game log
Derived nightly from the snapshot ledger — each row is the difference between consecutive days; multi-day rows are labeled.
| Date | Opp | Result | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | SB | BB | K | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Milwaukee Brewers | L 0-20 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .268 |
| 2026-09-09 | Los Angeles Dodgers | L 1-14 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .267 |
| 2026-09-08 | Los Angeles Dodgers | L 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .264 |
| 2026-09-07 | Los Angeles Dodgers | L 3-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .266 |
| 2026-09-06 | Milwaukee Brewers | W 12-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .268 |
| 2026-09-05 | Milwaukee Brewers | W 5-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .268 |
| 2026-09-04 | Milwaukee Brewers | L 7-10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .266 |
| 2026-09-01 | San Diego Padres | W 4-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .266 |
| 2026-08-31 | San Diego Padres | L 0-5 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .268 |
| 2026-08-30 | Chicago Cubs | W 7-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .266 |
Lahman + Retrosheet context
How this season fits history
Through 147 team games; 64 in 2001