Team Chases

Best record, last 60 days 2026-08-31 → 2026-10-30 · 30 of 30 clubs with 10+ games

1. 1 Brewers 18-6 .750 +51
2. · Padres 18-6 .750 +26
3. · Dodgers 18-7 .720 +48
4. · Yankees 15-8 .652 +30
5. · Guardians 16-9 .640 +13

The runs behind it: the Brewers outscored their opponents 146–95 in this window, 2.12 a game. Runs like that usually buy a .687 record; this one is .063 better than that, so some of the margin is close games going their way.

The Brewers came into this window playing to a .559 level, and over 24 games a club of that quality posts a run this good about once in 20 tries on its own. But the board tests 30 clubs across 3 windows — 90 chances — and if every one of those chances were as unlikely as this one you would still expect about 4.6 of them to come off, so seeing one is what a board this size turns up anyway rather than anything about this club. What is left is a board position: the Brewers sit first on this window's board among the 30 clubs that played 10 games or more.

Whether they are hotter than the Padres is a different question, and no window a season can offer will settle it: the gap is .000, the margin runs -.238 to +.238, and an exact test on the two records gives 100.0%. Over windows this length — 24 games and 24 — two records have to sit about .208 apart before the arithmetic can tell them apart at all, and the true difference between the two best clubs in a 30-club league is nearer .020.

Best record, since the All-Star break 2026-07-11 → 2026-10-30 · 30 of 30 clubs with 10+ games

1. 1 Brewers 44-22 .667 +88
2. · Padres 43-23 .652 +84
3. · Rays 42-26 .618 +54
4. · Red Sox 41-27 .603 +51
5. · Dodgers 39-26 .600 +52

The runs behind it: the Brewers outscored their opponents 343–255 in this window, 1.33 a game. Runs like that usually buy a .632 record; this one is .034 better than that, so some of the margin is close games going their way.

Measured from July 11: the standings row stored for July 12 did not move, because that night's results had already been credited to July 11. Subtracting from July 11 therefore leaves the July 12 games outside this window — which is what the label means, since the break began after they were played.

The Brewers came into this window playing to a .548 level, and over 66 games a club of that quality posts a run this good about once in 19 tries on its own. But the board tests 30 clubs across 3 windows — 90 chances — and if every one of those chances were as unlikely as this one you would still expect about 4.9 of them to come off, so seeing one is what a board this size turns up anyway rather than anything about this club. What is left is a board position: the Brewers sit first on this window's board among the 30 clubs that played 10 games or more.

Whether they are hotter than the Padres is a different question, and no window a season can offer will settle it: the gap is .015, the margin runs -.143 to +.173, and an exact test on the two records gives 100.0%. Over windows this length — 66 games and 66 — two records have to sit about .091 apart before the arithmetic can tell them apart at all, and the true difference between the two best clubs in a 30-club league is nearer .020.