No history was made last night, but the box scores still talked: Andrew Painter earned his first career win ▶︎ watch; Cody Bolton earned his first career save ▶︎ watch.
Historic Chases · 2026-03-31 RECONSTRUCTED
Nightly briefing
Baseball last night
Giancarlo Stanton is hitting OVER .400. Needs a .398 clip the rest of the way to finish at .400.
Giancarlo Stanton sits at .500 — the last .400 season was Ted Williams in 1941.
The so-what: Mike Trout is on a 50/50 pace — 2 HR and 2 SB, projecting to 54/54. Only Shohei Ohtani has ever done it, 54/59 in 2024. Both numbers have to land — that is what makes the club so small.
Also last night: The Arizona Diamondbacks came back from 5 runs down to win 7-5, and the Detroit Tigers blew a 5-run lead.
Historical intelligence
How the night stacked up
Shea Langeliers versus the great home-run seasons
Shea Langeliers has 4 home runs through 5 team games, even with Mark McGwire's 1998 pace at the same checkpoint (4). Comparable chases finished with a median of 23 (95% CI 22-24); 1.2% reached 50 (0.8-1.9% at 95% confidence), from 1569 comparable seasons.
Retrosheet · verified play-by-playA projected top-1 season
If Shea Langeliers finishes at the current projection of 130, it would be the most home runs in any season since 1901 — no season on record has finished higher.
SABR Lahman Baseball Database · through 2025A franchise record is under pressure
The single-season record is 131 RBI, set by Pete Alonso in 2022. Juan Soto projects to 130 and would finish 1 short.
SABR Lahman Baseball Database · through 2025Shea Langeliers is building a rare combination
At his current pace, Shea Langeliers would reach at least 60 HR, and 150 RBI. Only 3 completed seasons in the configured historical cohort reached every mark. The recent company includes Sammy Sosa (2001), Sammy Sosa (1998), Babe Ruth (1927).
SABR Lahman Baseball Database · through 2025Closest to .400
.500AVG
0 consecutive hits needed to reach .400
ON PACE
Home Run Leader
4HR
130 projected HR · +3 vs Bonds's 73 pace
Hits Leader
11H
356 projected H · +3 vs Suzuki's 262 pace
Stolen Base Leader
2SB
65 projected SB · 2 behind Henderson's 130 pace
Doubles Leader
52B
135 projected 2B · +2 vs Webb's 67 pace
Triples Leader
13B
32 projected 3B · 0 behind Wilson's 36 pace
Triple Crown Watch (MLB)
.350AVG · 4 HR · 7 RBI
.150 back AVG, none higher HR, none higher RBI full race on the Watch page
30/30 Club Pace
2/2HR/SB
54/54 projected HR/SB · team-game pace · 7 others in the hunt
ON PACE
Wins Leader (Team)
Blue Jays
4W
130 projected wins · record 116
ON PACE
Run Differential Leader
Brewers
+22
+713 projected run differential