Historic Chases · 2026-04-04 RECONSTRUCTED

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Nightly briefing

Baseball last night

Games of 2026-04-04

A quiet night in baseball — no cycles, no bids, nobody's first anything. The chases did the talking instead.

Andy Pages is hitting OVER .400. Needs a .396 clip the rest of the way to finish at .400.

Andy Pages sits at .500 — the last .400 season was Ted Williams in 1941.

The so-what: Andrés Giménez is on a 40/40 pace — 2 HR and 2 SB, projecting to 40/40. Only five players have ever done it: Canseco, Bonds, A-Rod, Soriano, and Ohtani. Power and speed in the same season is the whole story from here.

The .400 chase: Andy Pages went 3-for-5 last night and pushed his average up 20 points to .500. He is OVER .400.

History movers: Drake Baldwin — Franchise Home Runs: 3 now, pace 54, record 54 (Matt Olson, 2023); Runs: 9 now, pace 162, record 177 (Babe Ruth, 1921) · Aaron Judge — Franchise Home Runs: 3 now, pace 60.8, record 62 (Aaron Judge, 2022).

Historical intelligence

How the night stacked up

Pace through history

Shea Langeliers versus the great home-run seasons

Shea Langeliers has 5 home runs through 8 team games, 1 ahead of Mark McGwire's 1998 pace at the same checkpoint (4). Comparable chases finished with a median of 25 (95% CI 24-25); 1.5% reached 50 (1-2.2% at 95% confidence), from 1614 comparable seasons.

Retrosheet · verified play-by-play
If the pace holds

A projected top-1 season

If Shea Langeliers finishes at the current projection of 101, it would be the most home runs in any season since 1901 — no season on record has finished higher.

SABR Lahman Baseball Database · through 2025
Franchise pressure

A franchise record is under pressure

The single-season record is 54 home runs, set by Matt Olson in 2023. Drake Baldwin projects to 54 and would tie it.

SABR Lahman Baseball Database · through 2025
Only X seasons ever

Shea Langeliers is building a rare combination

At his current pace, Shea Langeliers would reach at least .300 AVG, 60 HR, and 150 RBI. Only 3 completed seasons in the configured historical cohort reached every mark. It is the tightest of 4 statistical combinations the engine checked. The recent company includes Sammy Sosa (2001), Sammy Sosa (1998), Babe Ruth (1927).

SABR Lahman Baseball Database · through 2025
Closest to .400
.500AVG
0 consecutive hits needed to reach .400
ON PACE
Home Run Leader
5HR
101 projected HR · +4 vs Bonds's 73 pace
Hits Leader
15H
304 projected H · +2 vs Suzuki's 262 pace
Stolen Base Leader
4SB
93 projected SB · 2 behind Henderson's 130 pace
Triples Leader
13B
20 projected 3B · 1 behind Wilson's 36 pace
Triple Crown Watch (MLB)
.500AVG · 3 HR · 10 RBI
none higher AVG, 2 back HR, 2 back RBI full race on the Watch page
30/30 Club Pace
2/2HR/SB
40/40 projected HR/SB · team-game pace · 3 others in the hunt
ON PACE
Wins Leader (Team)
Yankees
7W
142 projected wins · record 116
ON PACE
Run Differential Leader
Braves
+28
+504 projected run differential