Historic Chases · 2026-04-07 RECONSTRUCTED

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Nightly briefing

Baseball last night

Games of 2026-04-07

No history was made last night, but the box scores still talked: Jakob Marsee stole 4 bases ▶︎ watch.

Andy Pages is hitting OVER .400. Needs a .397 clip the rest of the way to finish at .400.

Andy Pages sits at .452 — the last .400 season was Ted Williams in 1941.

The so-what: CJ Abrams is on a 50/50 pace — 4 HR and 4 SB, projecting to 59/59. Only Shohei Ohtani has ever done it, 54/59 in 2024. Both numbers have to land — that is what makes the club so small.

The .400 chase: Andy Pages went 1-for-4 last night and saw his average slip 22 points to .452. He is OVER .400.

History movers: Yordan Alvarez — Franchise RBI: 10 now, pace 135, record 136 (Lance Berkman, 2006).

Historical intelligence

How the night stacked up

Pace through history

Drake Baldwin versus the great home-run seasons

Drake Baldwin has 5 home runs through 12 team games, even with Barry Bonds's 2001 pace at the same checkpoint (5). Comparable chases finished with a median of 25 (95% CI 24-25); 1.5% reached 50 (1-2.2% at 95% confidence), from 1614 comparable seasons.

Retrosheet · verified play-by-play

If the pace holds

A projected top-1 season

If Shea Langeliers finishes at the current projection of 81, it would be the most home runs in any season since 1901 — no season on record has finished higher.

SABR Lahman Baseball Database · through 2025

Franchise pressure

A franchise record is under pressure

The single-season record is 136 RBI, set by Lance Berkman in 2006. Yordan Alvarez projects to 135 and would finish 1 short.

SABR Lahman Baseball Database · through 2025

Only X seasons ever

Drake Baldwin is building a rare combination

At his current pace, Drake Baldwin would reach at least .320 AVG, 60 HR, and 150 RBI. Only 2 completed seasons in the configured historical cohort reached every mark. It is the tightest of 3 statistical combinations the engine checked. The recent company includes Sammy Sosa (2001), Babe Ruth (1927).

SABR Lahman Baseball Database · through 2025

Closest to .400