Historic Chases · 2026-04-07 RECONSTRUCTED

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Nightly briefing

Baseball last night

Games of 2026-04-07

No history was made last night, but the box scores still talked: Jakob Marsee stole 4 bases — happens only a handful of times a season ▶︎ watch.

Andy Pages is hitting OVER .400. Needs a .397 clip the rest of the way to finish at .400.

Andy Pages sits at .452 — the last .400 season was Ted Williams in 1941.

History movers: Bobby Witt Jr. — Stolen Bases: 7 now, pace 103, record 130 (Rickey Henderson) · Yordan Alvarez — Franchise RBI: 10 now, pace 135, record 136 (Lance Berkman).

The .400 chase: Andy Pages went 1-for-4 last night and saw his average slip 22 points to .452. He is OVER .400.

The so-what: through 12 team games, Drake Baldwin sits 0 HR behind Bonds' 73-homer pace (5 at this point). That's the number that decides whether this season becomes a chase or a footnote.

That morning's stakes

What we were watching

MUST TRACK: CJ Abrams is on a 50/50 pace — 4 HR / 4 SB, projecting to 59/59. Only one player has ever done it — Shohei Ohtani's 54/59 in 2024. Every game matters from here.

The .400 burndown: Andy Pages carries a .452 average into today; a .400 finish takes a .397 clip the rest of the way (229-for-577). That is .001 harder than yesterday. A 3-for-4 tonight lowers the requirement to .394; an 0-for-4 raises it to .400.

On this date in 1984, Jack Morris of the Tigers threw a no-hitter (one of 2 thrown on this date).

30/30 watch: CJ Abrams sits at 4 HR / 4 SB — 26 homers short and 26 steals short of a 30/30 season, projecting to 59/59.

Historical intelligence

How the night stacked up

Pace through history

Drake Baldwin versus the great home-run seasons

Drake Baldwin has 5 home runs through 12 team games, even with Barry Bonds's 2001 pace at the same checkpoint (5). Comparable chases finished with a median of 29; 2.1% reached 50 and 0.3% reached 60 (n=1145).

Retrosheet · verified play-by-play

If the pace holds

A projected top-1 season

If Shea Langeliers finishes at the current projection of 81, it would be the most home runs in any season since 1901 — no season on record has finished higher.

SABR Lahman Baseball Database · through 2021

Franchise pressure

A franchise record is under pressure

The single-season record is 136 RBI, set by Lance Berkman in 2006. Yordan Alvarez projects to 135 and projects to finish 1 short.

SABR Lahman Baseball Database · through 2021

Only X seasons ever

Drake Baldwin is building a rare combination

At his current pace, Drake Baldwin would reach at least .320 AVG, 60 HR, and 150 RBI. Only 2 completed seasons in the configured historical cohort reached every mark. The recent company includes Sammy Sosa (2001), Babe Ruth (1927).

SABR Lahman Baseball Database · through 2021

Closest to .400