Historic Chases · 2026-04-10 RECONSTRUCTED

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Nightly briefing

Baseball last night

Games of 2026-04-10

No history was made last night, but the box scores still talked: Max Muncy hit 3 home runs — happens roughly a dozen times a season ▶︎ watch.

Andy Pages is hitting OVER .400. Needs a .397 clip the rest of the way to finish at .400.

Andy Pages sits at .449 — the last .400 season was Ted Williams in 1941.

History movers: Xavier Edwards — Triples: 2 now, pace 23, record 36 (Chief Wilson); Batting Average: record 0.406 (Ted Williams) · Gunnar Henderson, after homering — Franchise Home Runs: 5 now, pace 62.3, record 53 (Chris Davis).

The .400 chase: Andy Pages went 3-for-3 last night and pushed his average up 36 points to .449. He is OVER .400.

The so-what: through 14 team games, Yordan Alvarez sits 1 HR behind Bonds' 73-homer pace (6 at this point). That's the number that decides whether this season becomes a chase or a footnote.

That morning's stakes

What we were watching

MUST TRACK: CJ Abrams is on a 50/50 pace — 4 HR / 4 SB, projecting to 50/50. Only one player has ever done it — Shohei Ohtani's 54/59 in 2024. Every game matters from here.

The .400 burndown: Andy Pages carries a .449 average into today; a .400 finish takes a .397 clip the rest of the way (223-for-562). That is .003 easier than yesterday. A 3-for-4 tonight lowers the requirement to .394; an 0-for-4 raises it to .400.

On this date in 2017, Wil Myers hit for the cycle.

30/30 watch: CJ Abrams sits at 4 HR / 4 SB — 26 homers short and 26 steals short of a 30/30 season, projecting to 50/50.

Historical intelligence

How the night stacked up

Pace through history

Yordan Alvarez versus the great home-run seasons

Yordan Alvarez has 5 home runs through 14 team games, 2 behind Barry Bonds's 2001 pace at the same checkpoint (7). Comparable chases finished with a median of 28; 1.9% reached 50 and 0.4% reached 60 (n=2054).

Retrosheet · verified play-by-play

If the pace holds

A projected top-1 season

If Andy Pages finishes at the current projection of 274, it would be the most hits in any season since 1901 — no season on record has finished higher.

SABR Lahman Baseball Database · through 2021

Franchise pressure

A franchise record is under pressure

The single-season record is 224 hits, set by Tommy Holmes in 1945. Drake Baldwin projects to 220 and projects to finish 4 short.

SABR Lahman Baseball Database · through 2021

Only X seasons ever

Yordan Alvarez is building a rare combination

At his current pace, Yordan Alvarez would reach at least .340 AVG, 50 HR, and 150 RBI. Only 5 completed seasons in the configured historical cohort reached every mark. The recent company includes Jimmie Foxx (1938), Jimmie Foxx (1932), Hack Wilson (1930).

SABR Lahman Baseball Database · through 2021

Closest to .400