Historic Chases · 2026-04-24 RECONSTRUCTED

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Nightly briefing

Baseball last night

Games of 2026-04-24

No history was made last night, but the box scores still talked: Nathaniel Lowe hit his first home run of the season — in his game No. 15 ▶︎ watch; Matt McLain hit his first home run of the season — in his game No. 26 ▶︎ watch.

Yordan Alvarez has 76 total bases — projecting to 456, 0 behind Babe Ruth's 457 pace. Needs 274 more to reach 350.

Yordan Alvarez sits at .357 — the last .400 season was Ted Williams in 1941.

The so-what: Oneil Cruz is on a 50/50 pace — 8 HR and 10 SB, projecting to 50/62. Only Shohei Ohtani has ever done it, 54/59 in 2024. Neither half carries it alone; the season has to finish on both.

Lines of the night: Paul Skenes took a PERFECT GAME into the 7th — broken up by a single ▶︎ watch; The Cincinnati Reds came back from 5 runs down to win 9-8, and the Detroit Tigers blew a 5-run lead; Taylor Ward — a bench bat with 26 games played — went a perfect 4-for-4; Konnor Griffin hit his first home run of the season — in his game No. 20 ▶︎ watch.

History movers: Sal Stewart — Franchise RBI: 24 now, pace 149.5, record 149 (George Foster, 1977) · Drake Baldwin — Franchise RBI: 23 now, pace 138, record 139 (Matt Olson, 2023); Runs: 27 now, pace 162, record 177 (Babe Ruth, 1921).

Historical intelligence

How the night stacked up

Pace through history

Yordan Alvarez versus the great home-run seasons

Yordan Alvarez has 11 home runs through 27 team games, 2 behind Barry Bonds's 2001 pace at the same checkpoint (13). Comparable chases finished with a median of 36 (95% CI 34-38); 7.6% reached 50 (4.8-11.6% at 95% confidence), from 238 comparable seasons.

Retrosheet · verified play-by-play
If the pace holds

A projected top-1 season

If Taylor Ward finishes at the current projection of 81, it would be the most doubles in any season since 1901 — no season on record has finished higher.

SABR Lahman Baseball Database · through 2025
Franchise pressure

A franchise record is under pressure

The single-season record is 215 hits, set by Vernon Wells in 2003. Ernie Clement projects to 214 and would finish 1 short.

SABR Lahman Baseball Database · through 2025
Only X seasons ever

Yordan Alvarez is building a rare combination

At his current pace, Yordan Alvarez would reach at least 60 HR, and 150 RBI. Only 3 completed seasons in the configured historical cohort reached every mark. The recent company includes Sammy Sosa (2001), Sammy Sosa (1998), Babe Ruth (1927).

SABR Lahman Baseball Database · through 2025
Closest to .400
.357AVG
8 consecutive hits needed to reach .400
LONG SHOT
Home Run Leader
11HR
66 projected HR · 2 behind Bonds's 73 pace
Hits Leader
35H
210 projected H · 9 behind Suzuki's 262 pace
Stolen Base Leader
11SB
66 projected SB · 11 behind Henderson's 130 pace
Doubles Leader
132B
81 projected 2B · +2 vs Webb's 67 pace
Triples Leader
43B
26 projected 3B · 2 behind Wilson's 36 pace
Triple Crown Watch (MLB)
.357AVG · 11 HR · 26 RBI
none higher AVG, none higher HR, none higher RBI full race on the Watch page
30/30 Club Pace
8/10HR/SB
50/62 projected HR/SB · team-game pace · 11 others in the hunt
ON PACE
Wins Leader (Team)
Braves
19W
114 projected wins · record 116
NEAR PACE
Run Differential Leader
Braves
+64
+384 projected run differential