No history was made last night, but the box scores still talked: Taylor Trammell hit his first home run of the season — in his game No. 31 ▶︎ watch; Joey Loperfido hit his first home run of the season — in his game No. 32 ▶︎ watch.
Historic Chases · 2026-06-23 RECONSTRUCTED
Nightly briefing
Baseball last night
Lines of the night: Yainer Diaz, Cam Smith, Taylor Trammell went BACK-TO-BACK-TO-BACK; Kahlil Watson hit his first career home run ▶︎ watch; The Philadelphia Phillies came back from 5 runs down to win 14-9, and the Washington Nationals blew a 5-run lead; Logan VanWey earned his first career win ▶︎ watch; Brandyn Garcia earned his first career save ▶︎ watch.
Also last night: Alex Call hit his first home run of the season — in his game No. 48 ▶︎ watch.
Milestones reached last night: Nasim Nuñez reached 30 SB.
The so-what: Kyle Schwarber has 29 home runs through 79 team games, a 59-homer pace — 10 behind Bonds's 2001 total at the same point (39 of his eventual 73). Keep watching that number — it separates a run at the record from a very good season.
Historical intelligence
How the night stacked up
Kyle Schwarber versus the great home-run seasons
Kyle Schwarber has 29 home runs through 79 team games, 10 behind Barry Bonds's 2001 pace at the same checkpoint (39). Comparable chases finished with a median of 48 (95% CI 47-50); 39.7% reached 50 (28.1-52.5% at 95% confidence), from 58 comparable seasons.
Retrosheet · verified play-by-playA projected top-12 season
If Kyle Schwarber finishes at the current projection of 59, it would rank No. 12 among all seasons since 1901 — only 11 finished higher.
SABR Lahman Baseball Database · through 2025Whose season does Kyle Schwarber resemble?
The completed season closest to Kyle Schwarber's projected shape is Pete Alonso's 2019 (75% similarity). The match is strongest in speed, runs, hit volume; the largest difference is run production. This is a comparison, not a forecast of how the season must finish.
SABR Lahman Baseball Database · through 2025Closest to .400
.337AVG
34 consecutive hits needed to reach .400
EXTREME
Home Run Leader
29HR
59 projected HR · 10 behind Bonds's 73 pace
Hits Leader
105H
213 projected H · 24 behind Suzuki's 262 pace
Stolen Base Leader
31SB
63 projected SB · 33 behind Henderson's 130 pace
Doubles Leader
232B
48 projected 2B · 9 behind Webb's 67 pace
Triples Leader
93B
18 projected 3B · 9 behind Wilson's 36 pace
Triple Crown Watch (MLB)
.286AVG · 19 HR · 61 RBI
.051 back AVG, 10 back HR, none higher RBI full race on the Watch page
30/30 Club Pace
17/18HR/SB
35/37 projected HR/SB · team-game pace · 2 others in the hunt
ON PACE
Wins Leader (Team)
Dodgers
51W
103 projected wins · record 116
LONG SHOT
Run Differential Leader
Dodgers
+143
+290 projected run differential