No history was made last night, but the box scores still talked: Cam Sanders earned his first career save ▶︎ watch; Ryan Watson earned his first career win.
Historic Chases · 2026-07-18
Nightly briefing
Baseball last night
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) has struck out 145 times, projecting to 237. Mark Reynolds' record is 223. That pace would be the most strikeouts in any season since 1901. But he's doing damage too: he leads MLB in home runs (33) — one every 10.8 at-bats. The strikeouts are the price of the power.
The AL Central is a coin flip: Guardians (52-47) and Sox (51-46) are even in the standings — zero games back. The Nationals' single-season record is 46 home runs, set by Alfonso Soriano in 2006. James Wood (WSH) projects to 46 and would tie it.
History movers: Red Sox — Win Streak: 12 now, modern record 22 (Cleveland Indians, 2017).
Lines of the night: J.T. Ginn carried a NO-HITTER into the 7th — broken up by a single ▶︎ watch.
Sweep watch: the Red Sox swept the Rays (3 games) — their 5th sweep in 24 days. Only 2.3% of team-seasons since 1897 have swept 5 clubs inside 30 days — 71 of 3043.
What changed from last season: Jackson Merrill (SD) — stolen bases up from 1 in 115 games in 2025 to 19 in 95 this season; Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — walk rate up from 4.7% to 11.6% (29 in 620 plate appearances in 2025, 48 in 414 this season). 2 of 330 rate comparisons across 64 men on this season's leaderboards, corrected for having looked that many times.
The so-what: Kyle Schwarber (PHI) has 33 home runs through 99 team games, a 54-homer pace — 10 behind McGwire's 1998 total at the same point (43 of his eventual 70). That gap is the whole story: it closes, or the chase does.
Historical intelligence
How the night stacked up
Kyle Schwarber versus the great home-run seasons
Kyle Schwarber has 33 home runs through 99 team games, 10 behind Mark McGwire's 1998 pace at the same checkpoint (43). Comparable chases finished with a median of 46; 26.9% reached 50 and 2.2% reached 60 (n=93).
Retrosheet · verified play-by-playA projected top-20 season
If James Wood finishes at the current projection of 149, it would rank No. 20 among all seasons since 1901 — only 19 finished higher.
SABR Lahman Baseball Database · through 2021This is an unusual batter-strikeout climate
MLB teams are averaging 8.38 batter-strikeout events per team game. The last completed season at least this high was 2021. The stored historical peak is 8.81 in 2019.
SABR Lahman Baseball Database · through 2021