Historic Chases · 2026-04-18 RECONSTRUCTED

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Nightly briefing

Baseball last night

Games of 2026-04-18

Felix Reyes homered in his FIRST MLB AT-BAT — a home run in his FIRST MLB at-bat — done only ~130 times in history ▶︎ watch.

Taylor Ward has 11 doubles — projecting to 85, +2 vs Earl Webb's 67 pace. That pace would be the most doubles in any season since 1901. Needs 39 more to reach 50.

Andy Pages sits at .389 — the last .400 season was Ted Williams in 1941.

History movers: James Wood, after homering — Franchise RBI: 18 now, pace 138.9, record 131 (Vladimir Guerrero); Franchise Home Runs: 7 now, pace 54, record 46 (Alfonso Soriano) · Yandy Díaz — Batting Average: record 0.406 (Ted Williams).

Lines of the night: Andrew Benintendi hit his first home run of the season — in his game No. 19 ▶︎ watch; Bo Naylor hit his first home run of the season — in his game No. 15 ▶︎ watch; Leody Taveras hit his first home run of the season — in his game No. 17 ▶︎ watch; Masyn Winn hit his first home run of the season — in his game No. 16 ▶︎ watch.

The .400 chase: Andy Pages went 0-for-4 last night and saw his average slip 23 points to .389. The gap to .400 is now .011.

The so-what: through 22 team games, Yordan Alvarez sits 1 HR behind Bonds' 73-homer pace (10 at this point). That's the number that decides whether this season becomes a chase or a footnote.

That morning's stakes

What we were watching

01

MUST TRACK: Oneil Cruz is on a 40/40 pace — 6 HR / 9 SB, projecting to 46/69. Only five players have ever done it: Canseco, Bonds, A-Rod, Soriano, and Ohtani. Every game matters from here.

02

The .400 burndown: Andy Pages carries a .389 average into today; a .400 finish takes a .403 clip the rest of the way (206-for-511). That is .005 harder than yesterday. A 3-for-4 tonight lowers the requirement to .400; an 0-for-4 raises it to .406.

03

Streak ladder: the Mets have lost 10 straight — 11 shy of the 2024 White Sox (AL record) (21); 13 shy of the 1961 Phillies (modern record) (23).

04

On this date in 2007, Mark Buehrle of the White Sox threw a no-hitter.

05

30/30 watch: Oneil Cruz sits at 6 HR / 9 SB — 24 homers short and 21 steals short of a 30/30 season, projecting to 46/69.

Historical intelligence

How the night stacked up

Pace through history

Yordan Alvarez versus the great home-run seasons

Yordan Alvarez has 9 home runs through 22 team games, 1 behind Barry Bonds's 2001 pace at the same checkpoint (10). Comparable chases finished with a median of 34; 6.8% reached 50 and 0.8% reached 60 (n=354).

Retrosheet · verified play-by-play
If the pace holds

A projected top-1 season

If Matt Olson finishes at the current projection of 77, it would be the most doubles in any season since 1901 — no season on record has finished higher.

SABR Lahman Baseball Database · through 2021
Franchise pressure

A franchise record is under pressure

The single-season record is 46 home runs, set by Alfonso Soriano in 2006. CJ Abrams projects to 46 and projects to tie it.

SABR Lahman Baseball Database · through 2021
Only X seasons ever

Yordan Alvarez is building a rare combination

At his current pace, Yordan Alvarez would reach at least 190 hits, and 60 HR. Only 2 completed seasons in the configured historical cohort reached every mark. The recent company includes Sammy Sosa (1998), Babe Ruth (1927).

SABR Lahman Baseball Database · through 2021
Closest to .400
.389AVG
2 consecutive hits needed to reach .400
NEAR PACE
Home Run Leader
9HR
66 projected HR · 1 behind Bonds's 73 pace
Hits Leader
28H
227 projected H · 4 behind Suzuki's 262 pace
Stolen Base Leader
10SB
74 projected SB · 8 behind Henderson's 130 pace
Doubles Leader
112B
85 projected 2B · +2 vs Webb's 67 pace
Triples Leader
33B
23 projected 3B · 2 behind Wilson's 36 pace
Triple Crown Watch (MLB)
.342· 9 HR · 20 RBI
3 / 1 / 2 in AVG/HR/RBI league ranks — full board on the Watch page
30/30 Club Pace
6/9HR/SB
46/69 projected HR/SB · team-game pace · 11 others in the hunt
ON PACE
Wins Leader (Team)
Dodgers
15W
122 projected wins · record 116
ON PACE
Run Differential Leader
Braves
+55
+424 projected run differential