Historic Chases · 2026-04-22 RECONSTRUCTED

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Nightly briefing

Baseball last night

Games of 2026-04-22

No history was made last night, but the box scores still talked: Spencer Torkelson hit his first home run of the season — in his game No. 24 ▶︎ watch; Michael Busch hit his first home run of the season — in his game No. 23 ▶︎ watch.

Yordan Alvarez has 74 total bases — projecting to 461, +1 vs Babe Ruth's 457 pace. Needs 276 more to reach 350.

Andy Pages sits at .353 — the last .400 season was Ted Williams in 1941.

History movers: Corbin Carroll — Triples: 4 now, pace 27, record 36 (Chief Wilson) · Yordan Alvarez, after homering — Triple Crown (MLB); Total Bases: 74 now, pace 461, record 457 (Babe Ruth).

Lines of the night: Patrick Bailey hit his first home run of the season — in his game No. 19 ▶︎ watch.

The .400 chase: Andy Pages went 0-for-3 last night and saw his average slip 13 points to .353. The gap to .400 is now .047.

The so-what: through 26 team games, Yordan Alvarez sits 1 HR behind Bonds' 73-homer pace (12 at this point). That's the number that decides whether this season becomes a chase or a footnote.

That morning's stakes

What we were watching

01

MUST TRACK: Oneil Cruz is on a 40/40 pace — 7 HR / 10 SB, projecting to 47/68. Only five players have ever done it: Canseco, Bonds, A-Rod, Soriano, and Ohtani. Every game matters from here.

02

The .400 burndown: Andy Pages carries a .353 average into today; a .400 finish takes a .409 clip the rest of the way (200-for-489). That is .002 harder than yesterday. A 3-for-4 tonight lowers the requirement to .406; an 0-for-4 raises it to .412.

03

On this date in 1993, Chris Bosio of the Mariners threw a no-hitter.

04

30/30 watch: Oneil Cruz sits at 7 HR / 10 SB — 23 homers short and 20 steals short of a 30/30 season, projecting to 47/68.

Historical intelligence

How the night stacked up

Pace through history

Yordan Alvarez versus the great home-run seasons

Yordan Alvarez has 11 home runs through 26 team games, 1 behind Barry Bonds's 2001 pace at the same checkpoint (12). Comparable chases finished with a median of 36; 7.6% reached 50 and 1.7% reached 60 (n=236).

Retrosheet · verified play-by-play
If the pace holds

A projected top-1 season

If Taylor Ward finishes at the current projection of 84, it would be the most doubles in any season since 1901 — no season on record has finished higher.

SABR Lahman Baseball Database · through 2021
Franchise pressure

A franchise record is under pressure

The single-season record is 52 home runs, set by George Foster in 1977. Sal Stewart projects to 52 and projects to tie it.

SABR Lahman Baseball Database · through 2021
Only X seasons ever

Yordan Alvarez is building a rare combination

At his current pace, Yordan Alvarez would reach at least 60 HR, and 150 RBI. Only 3 completed seasons in the configured historical cohort reached every mark. The recent company includes Sammy Sosa (2001), Sammy Sosa (1998), Babe Ruth (1927).

SABR Lahman Baseball Database · through 2021
Closest to .400
.353AVG
7 consecutive hits needed to reach .400
LONG SHOT
Home Run Leader
11HR
69 projected HR · 1 behind Bonds's 73 pace
Hits Leader
33H
206 projected H · 9 behind Suzuki's 262 pace
Stolen Base Leader
11SB
69 projected SB · 10 behind Henderson's 130 pace
Doubles Leader
132B
84 projected 2B · +3 vs Webb's 67 pace
Triples Leader
43B
27 projected 3B · 1 behind Wilson's 36 pace
Triple Crown Watch (MLB)
.347· 11 HR · 26 RBI
2 / 1 / 1 in AVG/HR/RBI league ranks — full board on the Watch page
30/30 Club Pace
7/10HR/SB
47/68 projected HR/SB · team-game pace · 11 others in the hunt
ON PACE
Wins Leader (Team)
Braves
17W
110 projected wins · record 116
NEAR PACE
Run Differential Leader
Braves
+57
+369 projected run differential