No history was made last night, but the box scores still talked: Dansby Swanson drove in 7 runs ▶︎ watch; Connor Wong hit his first home run of the season — in his game No. 33 ▶︎ watch.
Historic Chases · 2026-06-24 RECONSTRUCTED
Nightly briefing
Baseball last night
History movers: Dodgers — Team Wins: pace 104, record 116 (1906 Cubs / 2001 Mariners).
Lines of the night: LuJames Groover hit his first career home run ▶︎ watch; Dansby Swanson went 5-for-9, 2 HR, 11 RBI across a DOUBLEHEADER — a monster doubleheader day.
Sweep watch: the Dodgers swept the Twins (3 games) — their 3rd sweep in 31 days. 3 other clubs were swept the same night.
The so-what: Kyle Schwarber has 29 home runs through 80 team games, a 59-homer pace — 10 behind Bonds's 2001 total at the same point (39 of his eventual 73). That's the number that decides whether this season becomes a chase or a footnote.
Historical intelligence
How the night stacked up
Kyle Schwarber versus the great home-run seasons
Kyle Schwarber has 29 home runs through 80 team games, 10 behind Barry Bonds's 2001 pace at the same checkpoint (39). Comparable chases finished with a median of 48 (95% CI 47-50); 39.7% reached 50 (28.1-52.5% at 95% confidence), from 58 comparable seasons.
Retrosheet · verified play-by-playA projected top-12 season
If Kyle Schwarber finishes at the current projection of 59, it would rank No. 12 among all seasons since 1901 — only 11 finished higher.
SABR Lahman Baseball Database · through 2025A franchise record is under pressure
The single-season record is 198 hits, set by Aubrey Huff in 2003. Yandy Díaz projects to 198 and would tie it.
SABR Lahman Baseball Database · through 2025Whose season does Kyle Schwarber resemble?
The completed season closest to Kyle Schwarber's projected shape is Pete Alonso's 2019 (74% similarity). The match is strongest in runs, speed, average; the largest difference is run production. This is a comparison, not a forecast of how the season must finish.
SABR Lahman Baseball Database · through 2025Closest to .400
.340AVG
32 consecutive hits needed to reach .400
EXTREME
Home Run Leader
29HR
59 projected HR · 10 behind Bonds's 73 pace
Hits Leader
107H
214 projected H · 24 behind Suzuki's 262 pace
Stolen Base Leader
31SB
62 projected SB · 34 behind Henderson's 130 pace
Doubles Leader
232B
47 projected 2B · 10 behind Webb's 67 pace
Triples Leader
93B
18 projected 3B · 9 behind Wilson's 36 pace
Triple Crown Watch (MLB)
.282AVG · 19 HR · 61 RBI
.058 back AVG, 10 back HR, none higher RBI full race on the Watch page
30/30 Club Pace
17/18HR/SB
34/36 projected HR/SB · team-game pace · 3 others in the hunt
ON PACE
Wins Leader (Team)
Dodgers
52W
104 projected wins · record 116
LONG SHOT
Run Differential Leader
Dodgers
+144
+288 projected run differential