Sonny Gray carried a NO-HITTER into the 8th — broken up by a single ▶︎ watch.
Historic Chases · 2026-06-28 RECONSTRUCTED
Nightly briefing
Baseball last night
Milestones reached last night: Kyle Schwarber reached 30 HR.
Lines of the night: Raynel Delgado hit his first career home run ▶︎ watch; Kyle Backhus earned his first career win; Samy Natera Jr. earned his first career save ▶︎ watch.
Found velocity: Michael King's sinker averaged 94.4 mph — his hardest start of the season, 1.7 mph over his 14-start baseline.
History movers: Dodgers — Team Wins: pace 104, record 116 (1906 Cubs / 2001 Mariners).
Sweep watch: the Rangers swept the Blue Jays (4 games) — their 2nd sweep in 31 days. 2 other clubs were swept the same night.
The so-what: Kyle Schwarber has 30 home runs through 84 team games, a 58-homer pace — 9 behind Bonds's 2001 total at the same point (39 of his eventual 73). Keep watching that number — it separates a run at the record from a very good season.
Historical intelligence
How the night stacked up
Kyle Schwarber versus the great home-run seasons
Kyle Schwarber has 30 home runs through 84 team games, 9 behind Barry Bonds's 2001 pace at the same checkpoint (39). Comparable chases finished with a median of 48 (95% CI 46-49); 34.3% reached 50 (24.1-46.3% at 95% confidence), from 67 comparable seasons.
Retrosheet · verified play-by-playA projected top-14 season
If Kyle Schwarber finishes at the current projection of 58, it would rank No. 14 among all seasons since 1901 — only 13 finished higher.
SABR Lahman Baseball Database · through 2025A franchise record is under pressure
The single-season record is 198 hits, set by Aubrey Huff in 2003. Yandy Díaz projects to 198 and would tie it.
SABR Lahman Baseball Database · through 2025Whose season does Kyle Schwarber resemble?
The completed season closest to Kyle Schwarber's projected shape is Pete Alonso's 2019 (75% similarity). The match is strongest in runs, average, speed; the largest difference is run production. This is a comparison, not a forecast of how the season must finish.
SABR Lahman Baseball Database · through 2025Closest to .400
.336AVG
32 consecutive hits needed to reach .400
EXTREME
Home Run Leader
30HR
58 projected HR · 9 behind Bonds's 73 pace
Hits Leader
109H
210 projected H · 27 behind Suzuki's 262 pace
Stolen Base Leader
32SB
61 projected SB · 36 behind Henderson's 130 pace
Doubles Leader
242B
47 projected 2B · 10 behind Webb's 67 pace
Triples Leader
103B
20 projected 3B · 8 behind Wilson's 36 pace
Triple Crown Watch (MLB)
.279AVG · 19 HR · 64 RBI
.057 back AVG, 11 back HR, none higher RBI full race on the Watch page
30/30 Club Pace
17/20HR/SB
33/39 projected HR/SB · team-game pace · 1 other in the hunt
ON PACE
Wins Leader (Team)
Dodgers
54W
104 projected wins · record 116
LONG SHOT
Run Differential Leader
Dodgers
+152
+293 projected run differential