Junior Caminero (213) passed Julio Lugo (212) on the Rays' all-time RBI list; Christian Walker's walk-off home run in the 10th beat the Mariners 10-7 ▶︎ watch.
Historic Chases · 2026-08-14
Nightly briefing
Baseball last night
No club in baseball has been hotter: the Red Sox have won 22 of their last 31, 2 clear of the next club among the 30 with 30 games played. At its peak the run reached 27-3. They were 14 games under .500 on June 18 (29-43); they are 65-57 now. The Padres have won 6 straight, and are 8-2 in their last 10. Collapse watch in the NL West: the Dodgers' lead over the Padres was 14.0 games 18 days ago — it's 8.0 now. The Dodgers have gone 7-10 while the Padres went 13-4.
Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) is on a 30/30 pace — 27 HR and 30 SB, projecting to 36/40. Power and speed usually live in different bodies, which is why fewer than fifty players have ever managed both in one season. Both numbers have to land — that is what makes the club so small.
Seasons on a historic footing: Jacob Misiorowski (MIL), an ERA of 1.76, tied for 9th among the 4,338 qualified seasons since 1969 with Tom Seaver's 1.76 in 1971 and 13.80 strikeouts per nine innings, 2nd among the 9,603 qualified seasons on file and behind only Gerrit Cole's 13.82 in 2019; Dylan Cease (TOR), 13.09 strikeouts per nine innings, 5th. The earned run average rank is given from 1969 on because the lowest earned run averages were thrown before the mound was lowered in 1969, and a rank across those eras is not a comparison the numbers support.
Also last night: Two scoreless runs: Brandon Pfaadt has not allowed a run in his last 14 innings; Grant Taylor has not allowed a run in his last 13 innings. Yordan Alvarez (HOU) homered for the first time since July 28, ending a 13-game drought — his 36th of the season.
Went deep more than once: Ben Malgeri (DET) and Miguel Vargas (CWS) traded two-homer games — the first career multi-homer game for each ▶︎ Malgeri ▶︎ Vargas.
Start streaks: Chris Sale (ATL) has struck out 8 or more in each of his last four starts (11, 9, 8, 9).
Lines of the night: Two go-ahead plays: Dylan Beavers' tiebreaking single in the 7th put the Orioles ahead for good in a 6-5 win over the Rays ▶︎ watch; Michael Massey's tiebreaking single in the 7th put the Royals ahead for good in a 7-6 win over the Angels ▶︎ watch. Three starts of note: Clay Holmes allowed one hit over 6.2 scoreless innings (3 K) ▶︎ watch; Brandon Pfaadt allowed two hits over 7.0 scoreless innings (7 K) ▶︎ watch; Chase Burns (CIN) went 7.0 scoreless with 8 strikeouts ▶︎ watch.
What changed from last season: Jackson Merrill (SD) — stolen bases up from 1 in 115 games in 2025 to 24 in 120 this season; Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — walk rate up from 4.7% to 12.2% (29 in 620 plate appearances in 2025, 65 in 531 this season); Junior Caminero (TB) — walk rate up from 6.4% to 12.5% (41 in 643 plate appearances in 2025, 66 in 526 this season). 3 of 322 rate comparisons across 62 men on this season's leaderboards, corrected for having looked that many times.
That morning's stakes
What we were watching
Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) needs 3 home runs for a 30/30 season; he has 27 home runs and 30 steals. Next scheduled opponent: St. Louis Cardinals.
Historical intelligence
How the night stacked up
Kyle Schwarber versus the great home-run seasons
Kyle Schwarber has 37 home runs through 123 team games, 17 behind Barry Bonds's 2001 pace at the same checkpoint (54). Comparable chases finished with a median of 44 (95% CI 43-45); 9.6% reached 50 (5.8-15.5% at 95% confidence), from 146 comparable seasons.
Retrosheet · verified play-by-playA franchise record is under pressure
The Astros' single-season record is 47 home runs, set by Jeff Bagwell in 2000. Yordan Alvarez projects to 47 and would tie it.
SABR Lahman Baseball Database · through 2025This is an unusual batter-strikeout climate
MLB teams are averaging 8.36 batter-strikeout events per team game. The last completed season at least this high was 2025. The stored historical peak is 8.81 in 2019.
SABR Lahman Baseball Database · through 2025Whose season does Kyle Schwarber resemble?
The completed season closest to Kyle Schwarber's projected shape is Harmon Killebrew's 1963 (79% similarity). The match is strongest in run production, runs, speed; the largest difference is power. This is a comparison, not a forecast of how the season must finish.
SABR Lahman Baseball Database · through 2025