Historic Chases · 2026-04-19 RECONSTRUCTED

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Nightly briefing

Baseball last night

Games of 2026-04-19

No history was made last night, but the box scores still talked: Nick Yorke hit his first home run of the season — in his game No. 17 ▶︎ watch; Taylor Ward hit his first home run of the season — in his game No. 22 ▶︎ watch.

Taylor Ward has 11 doubles — projecting to 81, +2 vs Earl Webb's 67 pace. That pace would be the most doubles in any season since 1901. Needs 39 more to reach 50.

Andy Pages sits at .382 — the last .400 season was Ted Williams in 1941.

History movers: Yordan Alvarez, after homering — Triple Crown (MLB); Total Bases: 64 now, pace 451, record 457 (Babe Ruth) · Aaron Judge, after homering — Franchise Home Runs: 9 now, pace 66.3, record 62 (Aaron Judge); Home Runs: 9 now, pace 66, record 73 (Barry Bonds).

Lines of the night: Graham Ashcraft earned his FIRST career save ▶︎ watch; Kyle Karros hit his first home run of the season — in his game No. 22 ▶︎ watch; Derek Hill hit his first home run of the season — in his game No. 17 ▶︎ watch; J.P. Crawford hit his first home run of the season — in his game No. 15 ▶︎ watch; Jorge Barrosa hit his first home run of the season — in his game No. 16 ▶︎ watch.

The .400 chase: Andy Pages went 1-for-4 last night and saw his average slip 7 points to .382. The gap to .400 is now .018.

The so-what: through 23 team games, Yordan Alvarez sits 0 HR behind Bonds' 73-homer pace (10 at this point). That's the number that decides whether this season becomes a chase or a footnote.

That morning's stakes

What we were watching

01

MUST TRACK: Oneil Cruz is on a 40/40 pace — 6 HR / 9 SB, projecting to 44/66. Only five players have ever done it: Canseco, Bonds, A-Rod, Soriano, and Ohtani. Every game matters from here.

02

The .400 burndown: Andy Pages carries a .382 average into today; a .400 finish takes a .404 clip the rest of the way (206-for-510). That is .001 harder than yesterday. A 3-for-4 tonight lowers the requirement to .401; an 0-for-4 raises it to .407.

03

Streak ladder: the Mets have lost 11 straight — 10 shy of the 2024 White Sox (AL record) (21); 12 shy of the 1961 Phillies (modern record) (23).

04

On this date in 2012, Curtis Granderson hit 3 home runs in one game.

05

30/30 watch: Oneil Cruz sits at 6 HR / 9 SB — 24 homers short and 21 steals short of a 30/30 season, projecting to 44/66.

Historical intelligence

How the night stacked up

Pace through history

Yordan Alvarez versus the great home-run seasons

Yordan Alvarez has 10 home runs through 23 team games, even with Barry Bonds's 2001 pace at the same checkpoint (10). Comparable chases finished with a median of 34; 5.2% reached 50 and 1.2% reached 60 (n=422).

Retrosheet · verified play-by-play
If the pace holds

A projected top-1 season

If Matt Olson finishes at the current projection of 74, it would be the most doubles in any season since 1901 — no season on record has finished higher.

SABR Lahman Baseball Database · through 2021
Franchise pressure

A franchise record is under pressure

The single-season record is 52 home runs, set by George Foster in 1977. Sal Stewart projects to 52 and projects to tie it.

SABR Lahman Baseball Database · through 2021
Only X seasons ever

Yordan Alvarez is building a rare combination

At his current pace, Yordan Alvarez would reach at least 190 hits, and 60 HR. Only 2 completed seasons in the configured historical cohort reached every mark. The recent company includes Sammy Sosa (1998), Babe Ruth (1927).

SABR Lahman Baseball Database · through 2021
Closest to .400
.382AVG
3 consecutive hits needed to reach .400
NEAR PACE
Home Run Leader
10HR
70 projected HR · 0 behind Bonds's 73 pace
Hits Leader
29H
224 projected H · 5 behind Suzuki's 262 pace
Stolen Base Leader
10SB
70 projected SB · 8 behind Henderson's 130 pace
Doubles Leader
112B
81 projected 2B · +2 vs Webb's 67 pace
Triples Leader
33B
22 projected 3B · 2 behind Wilson's 36 pace
Triple Crown Watch (MLB)
.333· 10 HR · 21 RBI
6 / 1 / 2 in AVG/HR/RBI league ranks — full board on the Watch page
30/30 Club Pace
6/9HR/SB
44/66 projected HR/SB · team-game pace · 11 others in the hunt
ON PACE
Wins Leader (Team)
Braves
15W
110 projected wins · record 116
NEAR PACE
Run Differential Leader
Braves
+57
+420 projected run differential